Which of the following guys make the HOF? Who doesn't?

[oarabbus]

-Carmelo Anthony
-James Harden
-Russell Westbrook
-Lamarcus Aldridge
-Marc Gasol
-Kevin Love
-Big Al


Generally looking at ringless guys right now, and trying to not include guys like Davis, Lillard, who are just too young. More of a hypothetical discussion on guys who have had a solid 4-5+ seasons in the league, and (depending on your viewpoint) range from fringe to close to first ballot HOFers.

[SugarHill]

Melo - defintely
Harden - most likely
Westbrook - most likely
LMA - likely
Marc Gasol - most likely
Kevin Love - most likely
Big Al - whoa dere

[L.Kizzle]

Melo=yes
Harden=too early to tell. He could end up being Latrel Sprewell.
Westbrook=yes
LMA=too early
M.Gasol=too early
Love=too early
Al=lol

[Milbuck]

-Carmelo Anthony Lock
-James Harden Maybe
-Russell Westbrook Almost certain
-Lamarcus Aldridge Probably
-Marc Gasol Maybe
-Kevin Love Probably
-Big Al No

I want to pose a few others that I'd like to hear other opinions on..

Zach Randolph
Amare Stoudemire
Rajon Rondo
Joe Johnson
Shawn Marion
Vince Carter
Elton Brand

[L.Kizzle]

I want to pose a few others that I'd like to hear other opinions on..

Zach Randolph
Amare Stoudemire
Rajon Rondo
Joe Johnson
Shawn Marion
Vince Carter
Elton Brand
Z-Bo = hard to tell. Shawn Kemp ain't in.
A'mare = same as Z Bo, but a slightly higher possibility
Rondo = not a lock, but has a great shot. KJ and Timmy H not in
Joe Johnson = very consistent. Could be this eras Alex English. But probably not joins the likes of a Sweet Lou Hudson or Walter Davis or Bob Love like career.
Shawn Marion = look at players like Bob Dandridge or Detlef.
VC = lock
Brand = like Z Bo and Amare but a less shot then them.

[andremiller07]

Shawn Marion to me should be a lock as a low tier HOF guy, he was putting up crazy numbers and has been a great defender forever now.

His best season's numbers were simply crazy and he was like 6'6 grabbing 11+ rebounds per game.

[L.Kizzle]

Shawn Marion to me should be a lock as a low tier HOF guy, he was putting up crazy numbers and has been a great defender forever now.

His best season's numbers were simply crazy and he was like 6'6 grabbing 11+ rebounds per game.
You have players like Bob Dandridge, George McGinnis, Marques Johnson, Kevin Johnson not in yet.

[Hizack]

According to Basketball Reference HOF probability (http://www.basketball-reference.com/leaders/hof_prob.html), a HOF probability that > 0.5 means a "almost lock". Let's take a look:


Player HOF probability
------------------- ----------------------
Vince Carter 0.9455
Shawn Marion 0.7559
Amar'e Stoudemire 0.7293
Carmelo Anthony 0.7144
Joe Johnson 0.4976
Rajon Rondo 0.3363
Russell Westbrook 0.1143
Elton Brand 0.0716
Lamarcus Aldridge 0.0159
Zach Randolph 0.0091
Marc Gasol 0.0019
Al Jefferson 0.0003
James Harden too early to tell
Kevin Love too early to tell

[ImKobe]

-Carmelo Anthony - yep
-James Harden - likely
-Russell Westbrook - most def
-Lamarcus Aldridge - possibly
-Marc Gasol - I think he will
-Kevin Love - too early to tell
-Big Al - probably not

[L.Kizzle]

According to Basketball Reference HOF probability (http://www.basketball-reference.com/leaders/hof_prob.html), a HOF probability that > 0.5 means a "almost lock". Let's take a look:


Player HOF probability
------------------- ----------------------
Vince Carter 0.9455
Shawn Marion 0.7559
Amar'e Stoudemire 0.7293
Carmelo Anthony 0.7144
Joe Johnson 0.4976
Rajon Rondo 0.3363
Russell Westbrook 0.1143
Elton Brand 0.0716
Lamarcus Aldridge 0.0159
Zach Randolph 0.0091
Marc Gasol 0.0019
Al Jefferson 0.0003
James Harden too early to tell
Kevin Love too early to tell
Al Jefferson has a slightly better shot than me to make the Hall.