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View Full Version : what are the odds of losing a HCA game 7??


NZStreetBaller
05-01-2015, 03:57 PM
Suposse to be a very small chance of victory for the spurs according to the history. does anybody have the stat for this
ISHGoat
05-01-2015, 03:58 PM
Suposse to be a very small chance of victory for the spurs according to the history. does anybody have the stat for this

its like 20%
ClipperRevival
05-01-2015, 04:01 PM
About 80% of the time, the team with the HCA in game 7 wins. Personally, I thought that number would be closer to 90%. I remember when the Clips won at Memphis in game 7 a couple of years ago. That was shocking.
BlackWhiteGreen
05-01-2015, 04:02 PM
its like 20%

Wiki backs this up - 24/119. Can't find a more reputable sauce
SouBeachTalents
05-01-2015, 04:03 PM
Homes teams are 95-24 all time in Game 7's
MJistheGOAT
05-01-2015, 04:06 PM
Stats, stats, stats and more stats.

Both teams have won on the road and at home.

It
T_L_P
05-01-2015, 04:07 PM
I know this is a different player, team, series, but I take some solace in the fact that we've beaten Chris Paul in a Game 7 on the road before.
ClipperRevival
05-01-2015, 04:09 PM
[QUOTE=MJistheGOAT]Stats, stats, stats and more stats.

Both teams have won on the road and at home.

It
BlackWhiteGreen
05-01-2015, 04:10 PM
Given the numbers presented forth in this thread.. Would you consider losing in game 7 with HCA a choke job? Or am I being too harsh on my boy?

Depends, doesn't it. Not all game 7s are made equal
Hey Yo
05-01-2015, 04:14 PM
Heard the other day that under Pop's watch the Spurs are either 5-1 or 7-1 when they lead the series 3-2. Their only loss was in 2013 to Miami.
TheSilentKiller
05-01-2015, 04:16 PM
Given the numbers presented forth in this thread.. Would you consider losing in game 7 with HCA a choke job? Or am I being too harsh on my boy?
Statistics don't mean anything for an individual matchup.
SouBeachTalents
05-01-2015, 04:17 PM
Heard the other day that under Pop's watch the Spurs are either 5-1 or 7-1 when they lead the series 3-2. Their only loss was in 2013 to Miami.

Subtle way to prop up LeBron
Sarcastic
05-01-2015, 04:21 PM
It's 50/50.
Droid101
05-01-2015, 04:26 PM
Suposse to be a very small chance of victory for the spurs according to the history. does anybody have the stat for this
lol

Chris Paul lost game seven at home against the Spurs in 2008.

CP3 sweatin'.
Droid101
05-01-2015, 04:27 PM
Subtle way to prop up LeBron
There is absolutely nothing subtle about that ****** troll.
Hey Yo
05-01-2015, 05:04 PM
Subtle way to prop up LeBron
If I were intentionally trying to doing so I would have said LeBron instead of Miami.
Hey Yo
05-01-2015, 05:12 PM
There is absolutely nothing subtle about that ****** troll.
"[I]Eliminating conference distinctions in the playoffs would
MJistheGOAT
05-01-2015, 05:13 PM
BS. Game 7s are different from games 1-6. The level of intensity goes up even a higher notch. That's why people play for HCA. To play game 7 at home if it has to come to that. Everyone knows most teams can win on the road at least once in games 1-6. That's a given fact. But game 7 is different.

You have to demonstrate your theory with stats or it
JimmyMcAdocious
05-01-2015, 06:11 PM
How many higher seeds have won 2 on the road and still didn't win the series?
rmt
05-01-2015, 06:14 PM
HCA doesn't seem to mean anything in this series. Pop is gonna lose this series playing Parker so much. Play the HOT hand - whoever it is on the night.
TheMarkMadsen
05-01-2015, 06:19 PM
Subtle way to prop up Ray Allen

fixed that
sp6r=underrated
05-01-2015, 07:26 PM
The odds of losing a g7 at home depend on the respective quality of teams. Statistical analysis has shown that home court advantage is worth a little bit over 3 points. These two teams are almost dead even by the different advanced metrics. Given that HCA is worth about 3 points, I would guess there odds of victory are a little over 60%. I wouldn't consider either team chokers for losing this game.
ClipperRevival
05-04-2015, 02:21 PM
This is why HCA matters. Had this game been in SAS, the Clips would've lost. Anyone going to dispute this given how close this series was?
sp6r=underrated
05-05-2015, 09:14 PM
This is why HCA matters. Had this game been in SAS, the Clips would've lost. Anyone going to dispute this given how close this series was?

Clippers still could have won without HCA but it would have been extremely hard. Your larger point is correct: HCA matters which means the regular season matters.

I bet you the game Pop will think about all off-season is the game they tossed away to the Knicks. If they had won that game they would have had a Dallas team in disarray and gotten to play LAC with HCA.

Statisticians have consistently shown HCA has a real value in the NBA. The studies I've seen shows it is worth around 3 points a game. When you have a coin toss series, which this was, everything matters.
bballnoob1192
05-05-2015, 11:37 PM
Clippers still could have won without HCA but it would have been extremely hard. Your larger point is correct: HCA matters which means the regular season matters.

I bet you the game Pop will think about all off-season is the game they tossed away to the Knicks. If they had won that game they would have had a Dallas team in disarray and gotten to play LAC with HCA.

Statisticians have consistently shown HCA has a real value in the NBA. The studies I've seen shows it is worth around 3 points a game. When you have a coin toss series, which this was, everything matters.
why go back that far. they literally gave up there number 2 seed on the last game of the season. That was also when i knew they would lose to the clippers in 7