View Full Version : With all series pegged at 3-2, rank the four underdogs chances of...
sbw19
05-14-2015, 03:25 AM
advancing to the Conference Finals (best to worst)
Mine:
1. Wizards
2. Bulls
3. Grizzlies
4. Rockets
albas89
05-14-2015, 03:32 AM
advancing to the Conference Finals (best to worst)
Mine:
1. Wizards
2. Bulls
3. Grizzlies
4. Rockets
Agreed, but doesn't really matter... They all have about zero realistic chances of advancing.
sbw19
05-14-2015, 03:42 AM
Agreed, but doesn't really matter... They all have about zero realistic chances of advancing. Yeah, but I'm thinking at least one of them will advance. Some math whiz plz do probability of all four not advancing (assuming each team has 25% chance for simplification)
albas89
05-14-2015, 04:09 AM
Yeah, but I'm thinking at least one of them will advance. Some math whiz plz do probability of all four not advancing (assuming each team has 25% chance for simplification)
In that case, I would also give the Wizards a slight edge, because I think they have a good chance of winning Game 7 in Atlanta... I just don't see the series going to 7 games, Hawks are closing this out in DC.
bdreason
05-14-2015, 04:18 AM
Bulls
Wizards
Grizzlies
Rockets
fiddy
05-14-2015, 04:20 AM
Bulls
Wizards
Grizzlies
Rockets
ditto
SyRyanYang
05-14-2015, 05:04 AM
Yeah, but I'm thinking at least one of them will advance. Some math whiz plz do probability of all four not advancing (assuming each team has 25% chance for simplification)
About 30 percent.
Eric Cartman
05-14-2015, 05:05 AM
Bulls are the only team advancing.
Bump and give me credit when the time comes.
coin24
05-14-2015, 05:10 AM
The Bulls collapse in game 4 was the nail in there coffin. No heart puss.ies..
Wizards are the only team I can see with a tiny chance of coming back or even forcing a game 7..
JebronLames
05-14-2015, 05:14 AM
Bulls are still massive favorites
Wizards
Grizz
Rocks
buddha
05-14-2015, 06:09 AM
wizards and bulls are going to game 7's and either team could win imo
grizzlies and clippers are ending in 6
dannywpt
05-14-2015, 06:14 AM
Yeah, but I'm thinking at least one of them will advance. Some math whiz plz do probability of all four not advancing (assuming each team has 25% chance for simplification)
You don't really need to be a math/statistics whiz, it's 0,75^4 = 31,6% ish
Genaro
05-14-2015, 06:43 AM
Wizards
Grizzlies
Bulls
Rockets
Sportal
05-14-2015, 06:48 AM
A real shame about the Wizards. They've surprised tbh.
Magic 32
05-14-2015, 07:18 AM
Bulls are still massive favorites
http://instntrply.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/GasolFace.gif
SexSymbol
05-14-2015, 07:33 AM
1.Bulls
2.Wizards
3.Grizzlies
4.Rockets
Any other order is wrong
InfiniteBaskets
05-14-2015, 08:13 AM
You don't really need to be a math/statistics whiz, it's 0,75^4 = 31,6% ish
Should actually be the comportment of that. Prob that all teams up 3-2 end up advancing = .75^4. So the probability that any other combination where one or more underdogs advance is 1-.75^4 = .684. Meaning it's more than 50% likely that at least one of the underdogs will advance. But that's assuming a 25% advancement rate when being down 2-3.
ArbitraryWater
05-14-2015, 10:09 PM
1.Bulls
2.Wizards
3.Grizzlies
4.Rockets
Any other order is wrong
whats that, champ?
Spurs5Rings2014
05-14-2015, 10:51 PM
Bulls are the only team advancing.
Bump and give me credit when the time comes.
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sbw19
05-17-2015, 06:20 PM
Agreed, but doesn't really matter... They all have about zero realistic chances of advancing.:banana:
SexSymbol
05-17-2015, 06:26 PM
Prepare for all the nostradamuses that didn't even post in this thread to come and say "I said so"
We all know it was incredibly unlikely for Rockets to advance at the point this thread was created and it looked like Clippers were on a roll.
dannywpt
05-17-2015, 06:54 PM
Should actually be the comportment of that. Prob that all teams up 3-2 end up advancing = .75^4. So the probability that any other combination where one or more underdogs advance is 1-.75^4 = .684. Meaning it's more than 50% likely that at least one of the underdogs will advance. But that's assuming a 25% advancement rate when being down 2-3.
Yes, you are right, didn't really read through what he was asking for :cheers:
Eric Cartman
05-17-2015, 06:56 PM
:roll:
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Swing and a miss :lol
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