Which scenario is more likely?

[sbw19]

a. Cavs win next two, lose in seven
b. Cavs lose three in a row
c. Warriors win tonight, lose three in a row
d. Warriors go L/W/W/L/L rest of way
e. someone other than LeBron/Steph wins FMVP

___

I'm thinking, D (or maybe E) most likely. B least.

[sekachu]

a. Cavs win next two, lose in seven
b. Cavs lose three in a row
c. Warriors win tonight, lose three in a row
d. Warriors go L/W/W/L/L rest of way
e. someone other than LeBron/Steph wins FMVP

___

I'm thinking, D (or maybe E) most likely. B least.




I take B. You guys really overreact of the cavalier winning game 2. I don't find any surprise that they win one in this series even as a underdog. Why so odd?

[ISHGoat]

a. Cavs win next two, lose in seven
b. Cavs lose three in a row
c. Warriors win tonight, lose three in a row
d. Warriors go L/W/W/L/L rest of way
e. someone other than LeBron/Steph wins FMVP

___

I'm thinking, D (or maybe E) most likely. B least.

a. 2% chance
b. 5% chance
c. 0.1% chance
d. 5% chance
e. 25% chance

The most likely scenario is the zig/zag. Cavs split the games at home, and then teams hold home court. The pivotal game is g3 tonight to break the zigzag pattern observed throughout history for closely matched teams. The first team to break the zigzag will win the series.

I would say GSW in 7 is about 40%, cavs in 6 (holding home court) is about 40%, all other scenarios are highly unlikely.

[inclinerator]

cavs win next 2 warriors win game 5 cavs win game 6

[sbw19]

e. 25% chance
Good call. Veteran proved key.