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View Full Version : Breaking Analysis: 3 Point shots are less efficient for the last shot



Marchesk
12-03-2019, 11:05 PM
When you're down to one last possession, and the score is within two points, then the more efficient shot is the closer shot, all else being equal. That means a long two is better than a three, particularly if you get a little bit more open look.

ImKobe
12-03-2019, 11:08 PM
When you're down to one last possession, and the score is within two points, then the more efficient shot is the closer shot, all else being equal. That means a long two is better than a three, particularly if you get a little bit more open look.

Not really, players these days practice 3s more than they do long 2s, a three would be the better shot for most players.

Marchesk
12-03-2019, 11:10 PM
Not really, players these days practice 3s more than they do long 2s, a three would be the better shot for most players.

So that means they make a higher percentage of threes than long twos? Becaue I thought the league average for 3s is 35-36%, but long twos is 40%.

Of course if we're talking someone like Reddick, then maybe so. But if we're also talking about the difference between a tightly contested three or a bit more open two, well ...

And if we're talking about Westbrook, it doesn't matter.