Im Still Ballin
12-20-2021, 07:39 PM
Even though 3pt shooting has more value when it comes to points per possession, the ball simply misses more often. The frequency of made baskets is higher for mid-range shots, as opposed to 3pt shots.
A 33% 3pt shot is worth the same as a 50% 2pt shot on a points per possession basis. But the 2pt shot results in a made basket half the time, while the 3pt shot only goes in a third of the time.
Why is this important?
Because the average offensive rating (oRTG) for a possession that came from a defensive rebound or defensive stop is 115. All other types of possessions -- like those from inbounding the ball off a made basket -- average under 106.
Essentially? Shooting mid-range shots will result in more made baskets and fewer transition/semi-transition/early offense possessions.
Just as 3pt shots have synergistic floor-spacing benefits, mid-range shots will allow an offense to be more consistent. Frequently making baskets helps the defense set in the half-court.
A 33% 3pt shot is worth the same as a 50% 2pt shot on a points per possession basis. But the 2pt shot results in a made basket half the time, while the 3pt shot only goes in a third of the time.
Why is this important?
Because the average offensive rating (oRTG) for a possession that came from a defensive rebound or defensive stop is 115. All other types of possessions -- like those from inbounding the ball off a made basket -- average under 106.
Essentially? Shooting mid-range shots will result in more made baskets and fewer transition/semi-transition/early offense possessions.
Just as 3pt shots have synergistic floor-spacing benefits, mid-range shots will allow an offense to be more consistent. Frequently making baskets helps the defense set in the half-court.