Democrats Lead Midterm Polling Following SCOTUS Decision on Abortion

[diamenz]

For much of the midterm season, Democrats had lagged behind Republicans in generic ballot polling. Much of this shift against Democrats can be attributed to global inflation, lack of action on much of President Biden’s Build Back Better campaign promises, and the ever-declining standard of living.

However, following the Supreme Court decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, which overturned a half-century precedent established in Roe v. Wade, Democrats began leading Republicans in generic ballot polling.

In a poll conducted by NPR/Marist, Democrats now lead Republicans 48% to 41%. In a Morning Consult poll, Democrats lead Republicans, 45% to 42%. And in a poll conducted by Yahoo/YouGov, Democrats lead Republicans, 45% to 38%.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FWg-Sn-XgAEj8_l.jpg

This change in attitude is consistent with polling on the issue of abortion, a majority of Americans consistently approve of the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision and abortion access. As well as the Supreme Court’s abysmal 25% approval rating, which is a historic-low for the court.

Historically, the incumbent president’s party is often defeated in the midterm elections, so Democrats already face an uphill battle.

Democrats will not only need to defend every Senate seat up for re-election, but they will also need to flip at least two Republican seats to overcome the Sinema-Manchin roadblock. Meanwhile in the House, Democrats will have to defend every seat they currently hold, since they only maintain a slight lead over House Republicans.

Democrats have an opportunity to channel the American people’s anger and frustration in the upcoming midterms, but first they’ll have to convince voters to give the party one more chance to deliver substantial change.

https://texassignal.com/democrats-lead-midterm-polling-following-scotus-decision-on-abortion/

https://thekitefactorymedia.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/maxresdefault.jpg

[Long Duck Dong]

I told you fvckers. Give them abortion so we can win on guns, immigration, fiscal responsibility, freedom of speech and anti-woke bullshit. But nooooooo.......Let's be led by the nose by bible thumpers

[Charlie Sheen]

I told you fvckers. Give them abortion so we can win on guns, immigration, fiscal responsibility, freedom of speech and anti-woke bullshit. But nooooooo.......Let's be led by the nose by bible thumpers

Who is "them"? Moderate republicans support abortion 2 to 1 in this survey https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/fact-sheet/public-opinion-on-abortion/

[JohnnySic]

Its 1 poll, Marist poll, which is left leaning drivel. Check out their twitter page.

[diamenz]

Its 1 poll, Marist poll, which is left leaning drivel. Check out their twitter page.

three polls.

[Charlie Sheen]

Its 1 poll, Marist poll, which is left leaning drivel. Check out their twitter page.

The point i am trying to make is... Moderates on both sides are closer to each other than they are to the extreme wackos in their respective party.

[Lakers Legend#32]

You would think the Repugs would be ecstatic that they finally won and overturned Roe.

You would think this would be a hugely popular issue they could cruise to mid- term victories with.

Yet McConnell is telling Repugs not to even mention the Supreme Court ruling.

Even the turtle knows they are doomed.

[TheMan]

Let's see if that holds up months from now when the baby killers' zeal tames down and gas prices are still ass fukking us good...I still think Dems will lose big, not enough pink haired mentally ill man haters to turn the mid terms around. Those moderate GOPers in these polls will eventually go back to Republican candidates. Honestly, the Democrats richly deserve to get their asses handed to them and supporting abortion won't save them.

[Off the Court]

https://twitter.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/1544727964025241600?t=5mFE8HZ9RXmA1a2elsDpVg&s=19

More "ruh-oh"

Gas prices falling into $3 range everywhere. Right in time for mid terms. It's a conspiracy :lol

The big one will be this month's coming inflation rate.

Abortion is a failure on our SCOTUS system. Even Republicans lean pro-choice but we put religious zealots in charge of our laws. The system needs to change. These people shouldn't be serving life terms.

[Patrick Chewing]

https://twitter.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/1544727964025241600?t=5mFE8HZ9RXmA1a2elsDpVg&s=19

More "ruh-oh"

Gas prices falling into $3 range everywhere. Right in time for mid terms. It's a conspiracy :lol

The big one will be this month's coming inflation rate.

Abortion is a failure on our SCOTUS system. Even Republicans lean pro-choice but we put religious zealots in charge of our laws. The system needs to change. These people shouldn't be serving life terms.

Gas isn't falling everywhere and gas prices have been royally ****ing us for over a year now that people aren't somehow going to credit Dems with the lowering of gas to three dollars. :oldlol:

The damage has already been done. Paid $10 for a carton of eggs yesterday. You think gas is the only issue?

You guys are cute. You try to turn every negative thing about you clowns into a positive. You put your little spin to it and you hope the masses gobble it up.

[paksat]

Let's see if that holds up months from now when the baby killers' zeal tames down and gas prices are still ass fukking us good...I still think Dems will lose big, not enough pink haired mentally ill man haters to turn the mid terms around. Those moderate GOPers in these polls will eventually go back to Republican candidates. Honestly, the Democrats richly deserve to get their asses handed to them and supporting abortion won't save them.

Where was all this 2 years ago when you voted for Biden?

[JohnnySic]

Gas is still close to $5/gallon in my area. Those $3.99 pictures are cherry picked. Probably from red areas too.

[Off the Court]

Paid $10 for a carton of eggs yesterday.

Where the f@#k are you idiots buying your eggs? :roll:

[TheMan]

Where was all this 2 years ago when you voted for Biden?

I actually didn't vote for him :confusedshrug:

I never liked Trump, like ever. I remember him from the 80s, I always thought of him as an elitist prick, his everyman makeover didn't convince me one iota. I will give practically any GOP candidate a chance over him. I will give credit to Trump for his anti abortion stance, even if it's a totally pandering stance since not long ago he was pro abortion.

[Rocket]

Even if I believed the biased poll it would be worth it.

[Axe]

Gas isn't falling everywhere and gas prices have been royally ****ing us for over a year now that people aren't somehow going to credit Dems with the lowering of gas to three dollars. :oldlol:

The damage has already been done. Paid $10 for a carton of eggs yesterday. You think gas is the only issue?

You guys are cute. You try to turn every negative thing about you clowns into a positive. You put your little spin to it and you hope the masses gobble it up.
Go avail your own food stamps, poopsie.

[Off the Court]

https://twitter.com/BChappatta/status/1545045674445508614

Another "Ruh-oh"

The Fed rate hikes are finally achieving what they set out to achieve. Lenders are forced to drop rates because demand has plummeted. Which in turn means the Fed will likely stop their rate hikes, inflation will start to recover, and the stock market has bottomed out and will now start it's decent upward.

The gas price drops and mortgage drops will probably not be reflected in the coming July inflation rate so you guys better hope for something in the 9% range. Because after July? We are in full recovery.

[paksat]

Even if I believed the biased poll it would be worth it.


https://twitter.com/BChappatta/status/1545045674445508614

Another "Ruh-oh"

The Fed rate hikes are finally achieving what they set out to achieve. Lenders are forced to drop rates because demand has plummeted. Which in turn means the Fed will likely stop their rate hikes, inflation will start to recover, and the stock market has bottomed out and will now start it's decent upward.

The gas price drops and mortgage drops will probably not be reflected in the coming July inflation rate so you guys better hope for something in the 9% range. Because after July? We are in full recovery.

Been hearing this shit from blade since the beginning of bidens presidency.

A massive aluminum plant just shut down operations due to high prices of operation, and lack of demand in Indiana. The biggest plant in that particular county, I read about it this morning. So they're not buying your bullshit, why should I?

[Off the Court]

"Lack of demand" is the goal. Once the demand drops, the prices will follow. That's how supply and demand works. This is why recession fears exist because it's the only way the Fed knows how to fight inflation. They have raise rates, turn off the money hose, and hope that people stop spending so much money. All these covid millionaires have to be put in check.

We are finally seeing the rate hikes cool down the housing market. Demand has stopped. Housing prices should stop "inflating" now. Rent should stop inflating now.

July inflation might be in the neighborhood of 9% but that should be the ceiling. It's going to start dropping in August. Bookmark this if you want, If I'm wrong I'll own it. But if I'm right? You need to eat crow.

[paksat]

"Lack of demand" is the goal. Once the demand drops, the prices will follow. That's how supply and demand works. This is why recession fears exist because it's the only way the Fed knows how to fight inflation. They have raise rates, turn off the money hose, and hope that people stop spending so much money. All these covid millionaires have to be put in check.

We are finally seeing the rate hikes cool down the housing market. Demand has stopped. Housing prices should stop "inflating" now. Rent should stop inflating now.

July inflation might be in the neighborhood of 9% but that should be the ceiling. It's going to start dropping in August. Bookmark this if you want, If I'm wrong I'll own it. But if I'm right? You need to eat crow.

I'd eat crow if i actually talked shit, i'm just skeptical as anyone could ever be because if it's not this it's, "trump will be in prison any second now."

we've entered a recession, that's why demand is down. You usually don't just SURGE out of a recession right straight into a recovery.

[Off the Court]

I'd eat crow if i actually talked shit, i'm just skeptical as anyone could ever be because if it's not this it's, "trump will be in prison any second now."

we've entered a recession, that's why demand is down. You usually don't just SURGE out of a recession right straight into a recovery.

We're not in a recession. Unemployment is at all time lows :facepalm

And you are talking shit. You said they're not buying my bullshit.

[BigKobeFan]

We're not in a recession. Unemployment is at all time lows :facepalm

And you are talking shit. You said they're not buying my bullshit.

You are delusional.

Or you just live in your moms basement so you dont feel the effects

[paksat]

We're not in a recession. Unemployment is at all time lows :facepalm

And you are talking shit. You said they're not buying my bullshit.

"However, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow measure, which tracks economic data in real time and adjusts continuously, sees second-quarter output contracting by 2.1%. Coupled with the first-quarter’s decline of 1.6%, that would fit the technical definition of recession."

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/01/atlanta-fed-gdp-tracker-shows-the-us-economy-is-likely-in-a-recession.html


go away.

[Axe]

If not for the hesitance of these alt righters to be vaccinated, there wouldn't have been lockdowns in the first place. :confusedshrug:

[Patrick Chewing]

If not for the hesitance of these alt righters to be vaccinated, there wouldn't have been lockdowns in the first place. :confusedshrug:

:facepalm


The lockdowns came before the vaccine. Tu eres muy estupido.

[Patrick Chewing]

We're not in a recession.

Up is Down. Left is Right. Right is Wrong. In your world.

[Axe]

:facepalm


The lockdowns came before the vaccine. Tu eres muy estupido.
I mean they wouldn't have been extended tho if all people were willing to be vaccinated bt, yes?

[Lakers Legend#32]

Poopsie is terrified of falling gas prices.

[Off the Court]

"However, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow measure, which tracks economic data in real time and adjusts continuously, sees second-quarter output contracting by 2.1%. Coupled with the first-quarter’s decline of 1.6%, that would fit the technical definition of recession."

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/01/atlanta-fed-gdp-tracker-shows-the-us-economy-is-likely-in-a-recession.html


go away.

Did you even read this? It's just a tracker that makes predictions.


He said he would tell the public, “We fully understand and appreciate the pain people are going through dealing with higher inflation, that we have the tools to address that and the resolve to use them, and that we are committed to and will succeed in getting inflation down to 2%. The process is highly likely to involve some pain, but the worse pain would be from failing to address this high inflation and allowing it to become persistent.”

Whether that turns into recession is unknown. The National Bureau of Economic Research, the official arbiter of recessions and expansions, notes that two consecutive quarters of negative growth isn’t necessary for a recession to be declared.

:facepalm


We aren't currently in a recession with a growing employment.

You and Chewing just wish we were in a recession because you're both tribal monkeys.

[paksat]

Did you even read this? It's just a tracker that makes predictions.



:facepalm


We aren't currently in a recession with a growing employment.

You and Chewing just wish we were in a recession because you're both tribal monkeys.

You obviously are the one that can't read. Read what I quoted AGAIN and try one more time.

TRACKS IN REAL TIME... READ VERY SLOWLY PLEASE

[rawimpact]

As a republican I support abortion up to a point...

there should never be a hard NO on abortion, everyone's situation is different.

[Off the Court]

You obviously are the one that can't read. Read what I quoted AGAIN and try one more time.

TRACKS IN REAL TIME... READ VERY SLOWLY PLEASE
YOU READ SLOWLY. It literally says that their technical definition of recession is TWO quarters in a row and that they "see" the second contracting 2.1%

Meaning by their own definition it hasn't come yet, they are just predicting it will :oldlol:

Do you understand now Cletus? :facepalm

:cletus:



And that is me just completely ignoring the fact that we no longer define recessions that way. Which they go on to say in the article you linked. Unemployment needs to happen. Can't have a recession in the middle of record high jobs.

[Off the Court]

Here is a right wing FOX Business article put out just 3 hours ago.

June job growth revealed amid recession fears (https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/job-growth-strong-june-recession-risk)

June's jobs report was strong by historical standards, despite rising fears of an upcoming recession.

[Lakers Legend#32]

2 Facts FOX "News" Will Not Report Today:

1. Gas prices just dropped for the 23rd day in a row.

2. The June job report crushed expectations with 372,000 added and no signs of a looming recession.

Devastating report for FOX News viewers.

[paksat]

YOU READ SLOWLY. It literally says that their technical definition of recession is TWO quarters in a row and that they "see" the second contracting 2.1%

Meaning by their own definition it hasn't come yet, they are just predicting it will :oldlol:

Do you understand now Cletus? :facepalm

:cletus:



And that is me just completely ignoring the fact that we no longer define recessions that way. Which they go on to say in the article you linked. Unemployment needs to happen. Can't have a recession in the middle of record high jobs.


Literally says it's tracking it in real time, yet youre still hung up on a separate portion of the article.. I give up

[paksat]

But I will address your unemployment stuff.

Being in the workforce it's really simple, and we've said it many times, there was a pandemic. People went back to their jobs. It was called "new" jobs in the statistics.

Explain to me how the price of everything doubles, yet we apparently somehow get more demand out of such a thing. Economics 101 me on that please.

[bladefd]

We are not technically in a recession yet. However, we might be going into one soon. Fighting inflation with interest rate increases could send you into a recession if you push rate hikes too much. Sometimes you might have no choice if inflation is getting out of hand. I don't know whether this time will or not, but we will see soon.

[AKA_AAP]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J27K7Xn3eHo

8th day of the joecession. :facepalm

[paksat]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J27K7Xn3eHo

8th day of the joecession. :facepalm

I don't get it, why can't they just admit to it. Joe biden literally has no flaws according to these guys.

[Chick Stern]

https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-DTTMTD3ChBc/WsqqsH4xpeI/AAAAAAAAGNo/Sq7-F_xbC10G9I8nWctHiYO1zLADdNVvgCLcBGAs/s1600/Wave-B10-G.gif

[Doomsday Dallas]

https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-DTTMTD3ChBc/WsqqsH4xpeI/AAAAAAAAGNo/Sq7-F_xbC10G9I8nWctHiYO1zLADdNVvgCLcBGAs/s1600/Wave-B10-G.gif


The timing of this Roe v Wade reversal couldn't have been scripted any better.

[theman93]

https://i.ibb.co/djTf34Q/1.png

[diamenz]

https://i.ibb.co/djTf34Q/1.png

so who do we believe?

really what it boils down to is whether or not the dems can keep whatever momentum they may have off of this and be able to hold on to it for five more months in the midst of inflation. what do i think? roe being overturned may save the dems from an absolute blowout, but they're still sure to lose the senate and maybe even the house.

not just because 'that's the way it goes' come midterms, but because even the dems know biden is an absolute disaster. when a sitting president's own party wants him out, you know it's real bad.

[TheMan]

so who do we believe?

really what it boils down to is whether or not the dems can keep whatever momentum they may have off of this and be able to hold on to it for five more months in the midst of inflation. what do i think? roe being overturned may save the dems from an absolute blowout, but they're still sure to lose the senate and maybe even the house.

not just because 'that's the way it goes' come midterms, but because even the dems know biden is an absolute disaster. when a sitting president's own party wants him out, you know it's real bad.

GOP will blow out the Dems, no doubt about it. Historical precedence coupled with the fact Biden is unpopular. Not enough man hating dikes to stop that from happening.

[theman93]

so who do we believe?

really what it boils down to is whether or not the dems can keep whatever momentum they may have off of this and be able to hold on to it for five more months in the midst of inflation. what do i think? roe being overturned may save the dems from an absolute blowout, but they're still sure to lose the senate and maybe even the house.

not just because 'that's the way it goes' come midterms, but because even the dems know biden is an absolute disaster. when a sitting president's own party wants him out, you know it's real bad.
I don't see the overturn of Roe V Wade giving the Dems any kind of momentum. When folks see Democrats are pushing for abortions up until and after birth their support goes out the window.

[bladefd]

so who do we believe?

really what it boils down to is whether or not the dems can keep whatever momentum they may have off of this and be able to hold on to it for five more months in the midst of inflation. what do i think? roe being overturned may save the dems from an absolute blowout, but they're still sure to lose the senate and maybe even the house.

not just because 'that's the way it goes' come midterms, but because even the dems know biden is an absolute disaster. when a sitting president's own party wants him out, you know it's real bad.

I believe it will come down to whether inflation is reeled in by October, how much it's reeled in, and what the gas prices are. Those 3 are the most visible things and most talked about in the news. We will see.

[Lakers Legend#32]

We are not at war for the first time in 20 years.

That Brandon kid is doing a heck of a job.