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View Full Version : How long will Bron have the scoring record?



StrongLurk
02-01-2023, 10:27 AM
To be honest, he's going to have to play a few more years if he really wants to put it out of reach.

The NBA has decided they want offense only so this next generation will have it pretty easy. Luka really is the best candidate considering he's basically putting up identical career stats as Lebron...but who knows if he will play long enough. He has the game to do it for sure, but idk about the body.

BallsOut
02-01-2023, 10:28 AM
Not as long as he’ll have the turnover record

Phoenix
02-01-2023, 10:36 AM
The issue isn't so much the scoring rate, it's the longevity. Bearing in mind without the 2012 lockout or the 2020 pandemic season he'd have broken it already and been in the 40k range. You're gonna need someone to hit 27-30ppg ( that's doable) for 15-20 years at like 70 games a year ( much less doable) or however the math works. And we don't know what his final point tally will be when he decides to hang it up.

SouBeachTalents
02-01-2023, 10:38 AM
He's averaged 25+ ppg for 19 consecutive seasons, and offensive friendly era or not, is averaging 30 ppg in his late 30's. I know people said Kareem's record would never be broken, but there's just no way someone's going to put together 2 decades of superstar level play, mostly injury free, like LeBron has.

ArbitraryWater
02-01-2023, 11:06 AM
uka genuiney coud be a threat, i dont know, the ongevity is too crazy..

and they might shorten the season some day to smth ike 58 games (which makes more sense), which woud forever put that record out of touch.

ofc it coud sti be extrapoated to the amount of games, but then again that heath cant be guaranteed.

Phoenix
02-01-2023, 11:54 AM
Luka very well could end up with a higher career PPG average. I don't see him playing 20 years( in fact he's on record as saying he won't, granted shit could change). He needs the consistency and more importantly the health, and he's not blessed with Lebron's athletic genes. Bron never missed any significant amount of time until he was like 34-35, his first season in LA.

Wally450
02-01-2023, 12:21 PM
I doubt it happens anytime in the next 30 years. You're going to need a transcendent player that can play at a high level for a majority of their career that will need to last upwards of 20 years. They'll also have to avoid any serious long term injury.

Keno
02-01-2023, 01:12 PM
if he ends up with over 40k, which most likely will, I don't think it will be reached anytime soon. the durability, longevity, consistency, I don't think anyone will come close. luka already mentioned he won't play as long as lebron, he would go back play back home, and luka isn't as durable as bron.

Axe
02-01-2023, 03:34 PM
Imagine if he eventually reaches above 40k points. The haters are already on suicide watch atm but things will just get even worse for them.

AlternativeAcc.
02-01-2023, 03:40 PM
It really shouldn't matter, because lebron has always been much more than a scorer. That's the crazy part. Most points and top 2 or 3 in assists is the craziest thing ever.

It'll probably be another 40 or so years though. But I guarentee whoever surpasses it won't be top 3 in assists.

Patrick Chewing
02-01-2023, 03:53 PM
Luka can definitely break it (he'll probably finish with 9500 career points by the end of this season), but I can't see his body holding up. He looks out of shape now at 23 years old.

dankok8
02-01-2023, 04:11 PM
Honestly I think never because Lebron will play another 3-4 seasons at least and retire at ~45k.

StrongLurk
02-01-2023, 04:47 PM
It really shouldn't matter, because lebron has always been much more than a scorer. That's the crazy part. Most points and top 2 or 3 in assists is the craziest thing ever.

It'll probably be another 40 or so years though. But I guarentee whoever surpasses it won't be top 3 in assists.

Luka could be top 3 in assists if he also passes the scoring record...his scoring/assists numbers per game are just like young Lebron's.

dankok8
02-01-2023, 05:46 PM
Honestly I think never because Lebron will play another 3-4 seasons at least and retire at ~45k.

I meant to say forever!

AlternativeAcc.
02-01-2023, 05:56 PM
Luka could be top 3 in assists if he also passes the scoring record...his scoring/assists numbers per game are just like young Lebron's.

There's a lot ot guys who can score and pass sure. But not for 20+ years

Harden had a run there with ridiculous scoring/assists but is no where near the record.

And I've changed my mind. I dont think it'll ever be broken again if lebron plays another 3 years. It's permanent.

Airupthere
02-01-2023, 06:11 PM
Lebron has been incredibly lucky avoiding injuries and being in good shape. As others have noted, if he pushes for 45k I don't think anyone will break that record.

SouBeachTalents
02-01-2023, 06:16 PM
There's a lot ot guys who can score and pass sure. But not for 20+ years

Harden had a run there with ridiculous scoring/assists but is no where near the record.

And I've changed my mind. I dont think it'll ever be broken again if lebron plays another 3 years. It's permanent.
Yeah, I didn't even factor in him playing beyond this year tbh. We haven't even seen the guy drop below 25 ppg since his rookie year :lol He shows no signs of slowing down scoring wise, and, barring injury of course, could legitimately average 25+ ppg for at least the next couple of seasons, if not more. He could get to 45k when it's all said and done.

RRR3
02-01-2023, 06:41 PM
Forever if his longevity so far is any indication.

AlternativeAcc.
02-01-2023, 06:51 PM
Yeah, I didn't even factor in him playing beyond this year tbh. We haven't even seen the guy drop below 25 ppg since his rookie year :lol He shows no signs of slowing down scoring wise, and, barring injury of course, could legitimately average 25+ ppg for at least the next couple of seasons, if not more. He could get to 45k when it's all said and done.

Gonna take some serious advancements in gene editing for anybody to have a shot in the future. But when everybody is playing for 30 years instead of 15, thats a whole different record altogether.

So the only way it actually gets broken is thru scientific advancements far beyond what we've seen thus far and a much larger gap than what we've seen from the 60s until now.


LeBron is the king forever no matter what.

StrongLurk
02-01-2023, 07:19 PM
I was hoping he would break the record on an East Coast game...but looks like it might literally be against OKC which is a 10:30pm ET start time.

Probably my least favorite thing about Lebron's move to the Lakers is having so many west coast games.

Round Mound
02-02-2023, 04:25 PM
The idea is to have Kevin Durant to break it after Lebron retires.

Overdrive
02-02-2023, 04:32 PM
It won't be broken unless there's another shift in overall longevity. Players seem to play longer than 20, 30 or 40 years ago and yet Lebron is still an outlier longevity wise.

8Ball
02-02-2023, 05:57 PM
If he retires at 44K points... he'll have it forever.

At 44K points a player would have to score:

30ppg for 19 seasons averaging 75 games a season.

or

25 ppg, for 23.5 seasons at 75 games a season.

j3lademaster
02-02-2023, 06:11 PM
Until we develop the technology to slow down aging.

Seriously though, more and more players are realizing they make more money throughout their careers if they play 40-50 games per season for 17 years vs 70 per season for 14. And with the money players make now, more and more will retire before their actual age forces them to, which is relevant since KAJ's record was probably money driven in the first place.


He didn't know yet that Collins had invested a significant sum of the athlete's money in real estate deals that started crumbling in 1984 and 1985. In 1986 Abdul-Jabbar had an independent audit of his finances and found out that he was liable for $9 million in debt. Collins was fired.

https://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/05/01/kareem-abdul-jabbars-biggest-money-regret.aspx#:~:text=He%20didn't%20know%20yet,Colli ns%20was%20fired.

StrongLurk
02-02-2023, 09:51 PM
Does KD have a shot? Seems low but...he's already shooting up the scoring list. Wouldn't surprise me if he passed Jordan.

SaltyMeatballs
02-02-2023, 10:00 PM
It will never be broken. Ever.

By the end of LeBron's career he'll have between 40k-45k points.

To get to 40k, someone will have to average at least 27 ppg over a span of at least 22 seasons WHILE playing an average of 70 games per year. That will never happen. We will never see a player dominate this late into their career or have this type of longevity.

Enjoy the GOAT while he's here

SaltyMeatballs
02-02-2023, 10:03 PM
Does KD have a shot? Seems low but...he's already shooting up the scoring list. Wouldn't surprise me if he passed Jordan.

He'll get to 30k but he won't be anywhere near LeBron's record

kawhileonard2
02-03-2023, 12:56 AM
If they are thinking of changing the regular season to less games, then I don't see how.

kawhileonard2
02-03-2023, 12:57 AM
It will never be broken. Ever.

By the end of LeBron's career he'll have between 40k-45k points.

To get to 40k, someone will have to average at least 27 ppg over a span of at least 22 seasons WHILE playing an average of 70 games per year. That will never happen. We will never see a player dominate this late into their career or have this type of longevity.

Enjoy the GOAT while he's here

Steph Curry has as many titles in less seasons and beat Lebron head to head 3 times without switching teams and came to a losing organization. Lebron isn't even GOAT in his own era.

Keno
02-03-2023, 01:16 AM
The idea is to have Kevin Durant to break it after Lebron retires.

KD had a chance but he's too injury prone, hasn't played 70+ games since 2018

SaltyMeatballs
02-03-2023, 01:41 AM
Steph Curry has as many titles in less seasons and beat Lebron head to head 3 times without switching teams and came to a losing organization. Lebron isn't even GOAT in his own era.

Steph Curry also happened to play on the most stacked team of all time. Cavs were severely outmatched in 2017 and 2018

Axe
02-03-2023, 01:42 AM
Steph Curry also happened to play on the most stacked team of all time. Cavs were severely outmatched in 2017 and 2018
This.

highwhey
02-03-2023, 01:49 AM
Luka can definitely break it (he'll probably finish with 9500 career points by the end of this season), but I can't see his body holding up. He looks out of shape now at 23 years old.

Hey chubbs, have you looked in a mirror?

kawhileonard2
02-03-2023, 01:53 AM
Steph Curry also happened to play on the most stacked team of all time. Cavs were severely outmatched in 2017 and 2018

Not really!
https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2015_preseason_odds.html (Golden State 8th), Cavs 1st


https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2016_preseason_odds.html (Golden State 2nd, Cavs 1st) - Needed suspension.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2017_preseason_odds.html both 1 and 2 also added prime Deron Williams

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2018_preseason_odds.html both 1 and 2 also added prime Derrick Rose. Cavs getting Rose is like Warriors getting KD. Both won league mvp and less than 29 years of age. Also got prime Wade again.

SaltyMeatballs
02-03-2023, 01:57 AM
Not really!
https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2015_preseason_odds.html (Golden State 8th), Cavs 1st


https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2016_preseason_odds.html (Golden State 2nd, Cavs 1st) - Needed suspension.

Hey dumbass. I'm clearly talking about the KD Warriors as the most stacked team ever


https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2017_preseason_odds.html both 1 and 2 also added prime Deron Williams

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2018_preseason_odds.html both 1 and 2 also added prime Derrick Rose. Cavs getting Rose is like Warriors getting KD. Both won league mvp and less than 29 years of age. Also got prime Wade again.

Boring troll. Next.

Axe
02-03-2023, 02:02 AM
Hey dumbass. I'm clearly talking about the KD Warriors as the most stacked team ever



Boring troll. Next.
:oldlol:

Poor jordansbulls lmao.

kawhileonard2
02-03-2023, 02:05 AM
Hey dumbass. I'm clearly talking about the KD Warriors as the most stacked team ever



Boring troll. Next.

Not really!
https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2015_preseason_odds.html (Golden State 8th), Cavs 1st


https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2016_preseason_odds.html (Golden State 2nd, Cavs 1st) - Needed suspension.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2017_preseason_odds.html both 1 and 2 also added prime Deron Williams

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2018_preseason_odds.html both 1 and 2 also added prime Derrick Rose. Cavs getting Rose is like Warriors getting KD. Both won league mvp and less than 29 years of age. Also got prime Wade again.

Hey dumbass I'm talking about Lebron being predicted 1st to win it all and losing to who was 8th predicted to win it all.

kawhileonard2
02-03-2023, 02:06 AM
:oldlol:

Poor jordansbulls lmao.

Reported! Not sure who that is. Are they on insidehoops?

SaltyMeatballs
02-03-2023, 02:07 AM
Not really!
https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2015_preseason_odds.html (Golden State 8th), Cavs 1st


https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2016_preseason_odds.html (Golden State 2nd, Cavs 1st) - Needed suspension.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2017_preseason_odds.html both 1 and 2 also added prime Deron Williams

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2018_preseason_odds.html both 1 and 2 also added prime Derrick Rose. Cavs getting Rose is like Warriors getting KD. Both won league mvp and less than 29 years of age. Also got prime Wade again.

Hey dumbass I'm talking about Lebron being predicted 1st to win it all and losing to who was 8th predicted to win it all.

Using preseason odds to support your argument. **** off you're lame :roll:

kawhileonard2
02-03-2023, 02:09 AM
Using preseason odds to support your argument. **** off you're lame :roll:

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2015_preseason_odds.html (Golden State 8th), Cavs 1st


https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2016_preseason_odds.html (Golden State 2nd, Cavs 1st) - Needed suspension.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2017_preseason_odds.html both 1 and 2 also added prime Deron Williams

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2018_preseason_odds.html both 1 and 2 also added prime Derrick Rose. Cavs getting Rose is like Warriors getting KD. Both won league mvp and less than 29 years of age. Also got prime Wade again.

Prove me wrong! I'm talking about Lebron being predicted 1st to win it all and losing to who was 8th predicted to win it all.:oldlol:

1987_Lakers
02-03-2023, 02:10 AM
Hey dumbass. I'm clearly talking about the KD Warriors as the most stacked team ever



Boring troll. Next.

:roll:

kawhileonard2
02-03-2023, 02:11 AM
:roll:

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2015_preseason_odds.html (Golden State 8th), Cavs 1st


https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2016_preseason_odds.html (Golden State 2nd, Cavs 1st) - Needed suspension.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2017_preseason_odds.html both 1 and 2 also added prime Deron Williams

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2018_preseason_odds.html both 1 and 2 also added prime Derrick Rose. Cavs getting Rose is like Warriors getting KD. Both won league mvp and less than 29 years of age. Also got prime Wade again.

Prove me wrong! I'm talking about Lebron being predicted 1st to win it all and losing to who was 8th predicted to win it all.:oldlol:

:roll::roll::roll:

RRR3
02-03-2023, 02:16 AM
Why are you still even responding to someone who said LeBron played with prime Deron Williams and prime Derrick Rose? And that Dwyane Wade was in his prime in 2018? :lol

Axe
02-03-2023, 03:24 AM
Reported! Not sure who that is. Are they on insidehoops?
Meltdown. Eat a dick.

nayte
02-03-2023, 04:00 AM
I don't see any current player breaking it so at least 20 years but I feel like it's gonna be longer than that

Phoenix
02-03-2023, 06:27 AM
I don't see any current player breaking it so at least 20 years but I feel like it's gonna be longer than that

Well considering he'll have the record by early next week, let's start that 20 year countdown now. The only person right now young enough( and producing enough) to challenge it is Luka, but I think the general consensus is he'll neither play long enough or enough games per season to seriously challenge it. I doubt any of us will be alive to see anyone else even pass Kareem, let alone pass whatever total Lebron ends on.

nayte
02-03-2023, 07:02 AM
Well considering he'll have the record by early next week, let's start that 20 year countdown now. The only person right now young enough( and producing enough) to challenge it is Luka, but I think the general consensus is he'll neither play long enough or enough games per season to seriously challenge it. I doubt any of us will be alive to see anyone else even pass Kareem, let alone pass whatever total Lebron ends on.

Yeah that's why I said at least 20 years.luca was on that track but he said he didn't want to play that long. I don't see anyone else breaking it currently.

Wemby has the talent but I don't see him lasting. Could be wrong but to op at least twenty years

Phoenix
02-03-2023, 07:10 AM
Yeah that's why I said at least 20 years.luca was on that track but he said he didn't want to play that long. I don't see anyone else breaking it currently.

Wemby has the talent but I don't see him lasting. Could be wrong but to op at least twenty years

'At least 20 years' just sounds like really underselling how long it's going to last lol, but not going to belabor that. It's more like 'it will last at least 40 years' but I can just as easily see it going 50 plus. As I said before any number of guys, especially in this era, could drop 27-30ppg. The issue is doing it for 20 years while playing like 70 games a year. There's a whole lot of math that needs to align perfectly for something like this to happen again.

nayte
02-03-2023, 07:14 AM
'At least 20 years' just sounds like really underselling how long it's going to last lol, but not going to belabor that. It's more like 'it will last at least 40 years' but I can just as easily see it going 50 plus.

I didn't mean to undersell it. That is just the minimum to me for how long you will have to play to beat the record so I went with that

Phoenix
02-03-2023, 07:17 AM
I didn't mean to undersell it. That is just the minimum to me for how long you will have to play to beat the record so I went with that

Fair enough, I may be overthinking it on my end. All good :cheers:

nayte
02-03-2023, 07:34 AM
Fair enough, I may be overthinking it on my end. All good :cheers:

Ha fair enough I should have been clearer.lebron has the goat level of longevity. But it will be passed like Kareem was. That's the way it goes

Johnny32
02-03-2023, 07:57 AM
lol thinking any of us will live to see this historic record broken again.

John8204
02-03-2023, 12:30 PM
Based on how a player declines and Lebron isn't in decline 50K/27 seasons is within his reach. I think he's going to play into his mid forties and use his influence to win with his kids.

And that record will never be broken like Wilt's 100.

kuniva_dAMiGhTy
02-03-2023, 12:44 PM
Didn't get to see Kareem break the scoring record. Live anyway....

Pretty hyped to see this go down, though :applause: