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View Full Version : I had a Jokic/Luka/Mitchell/Fox parlay lose last week.



Kblaze8855
03-21-2024, 02:57 PM
https://www.hostpic.org/images/2403220023220351.jpeg







Didn’t feel a need to threaten anyone.

I saw Haliburton saying he’s started to feel like nothing but a prop bet to people now. I admit I did consider betting the over 19.5 on his last game but I couldn’t because I was on a ****ing Indian reservation and draftkings wouldn’t let me bet from there.

Im sure people do take it too far. But it’s the only new source of revenue I see coming up. If they want those super max deals to creep towards 400 million they better embrace it.

ImKobe
03-21-2024, 06:01 PM
Of course they blame the players. Prop betting is a huge scam to begin with, and I don't think people understand how much the odds are against them when they're betting money that they really can't afford to lose. That's why they get upset and take it to social media or to the arenas to let the players know how much money they lost on it. Those people deserve to lose their money tbh.

warriorfan
03-21-2024, 10:51 PM
Parlays are always silly but they can be fun every once in awhile. I one time did a 9 or 10 way parlay and it came down to the last game and I lost. lol

Real Men Wear Green
03-22-2024, 08:32 AM
Parlay is just an overpriced lottery ticket.

Anyway its only a matter of time before some crazy dangerous and desperate degenerate gets in an athletes face after he missed a three and didn't cover the spread. I think it might have been Bradley
Beal that told a story about laughing in a fan's face when he did something on the court that lost them a bet. It might have been an online interaction though.

Manny98
03-22-2024, 08:36 AM
I am a gambling addict I've spent 2000 in the past month on sports betting

Luckily I'm in profit and am very smart with my bets to the point where it's become a second source of income

Real Men Wear Green
03-22-2024, 08:46 AM
I am a gambling addict I've spent 2000 in the past month on sports betting

Luckily I'm in profit and am very smart with my bets to the point where it's become a second source of income
If you've been betting on the Nets the last few years you're lucky you aren't homeless.

Kblaze8855
03-22-2024, 09:28 AM
Parlay is just an overpriced lottery ticket.

Anyway its only a matter of time before some crazy dangerous and desperate degenerate gets in an athletes face after he missed a three and didn't cover the spread. I think it might have been Bradley
Beal that told a story about laughing in a fan's face when he did something on the court that lost them a bet. It might have been an online interaction though.

yeah, a parlay is tough. Even a parlay that is nothing but picking winners is tough. If it’s a five way parlay the Celtics will find a way to lose to the Pistons. The universe just wills it.

On individual bets I really don’t see how all the associates of top level players don’t win everything. I know it’s tracked to some extent and you have to have a few degrees of separation but if a friend of Luka is down on his luck and doesn’t want to ask for a straight hand out? What are the odds he can’t get his girlfriend’s cousin to put 2000 on Luka scoring over 30? Just give him the nod and wink.

Luka is scoring 30 any time he wants.

The leagues watch for weird betting patterns with insiders at the sport books but how rare would a Luka over be in and around Dallas?

I don’t know how they keep up with it.

tpols
03-22-2024, 10:48 AM
A bunch of years back I was living in a halfway house and one of the guys there used to place like 3 10 leg parlays every night across multiple sports, and he would flip out when he'd have 9 of the legs covered and lose because a role player scored 12 points instead of 14 on the last leg. Like screaming at the TV why did they sub him out I only needed 1 more bucket! And then when he would win he'd throw a pizza party for the house. Made me realize how bad gambling addiction can be. I still have money in my fanduel account but I don't even like gambling. It's too random and you can get ****ed at any time completely out of the blue.

tpols
03-22-2024, 11:07 AM
yeah, a parlay is tough. Even a parlay that is nothing but picking winners is tough. If it’s a five way parlay the Celtics will find a way to lose to the Pistons. The universe just wills it.

On individual bets I really don’t see how all the associates of top level players don’t win everything. I know it’s tracked to some extent and you have to have a few degrees of separation but if a friend of Luka is down on his luck and doesn’t want to ask for a straight hand out? What are the odds he can’t get his girlfriend’s cousin to put 2000 on Luka scoring over 30? Just give him the nod and wink.

Luka is scoring 30 any time he wants.

The leagues watch for weird betting patterns with insiders at the sport books but how rare would a Luka over be in and around Dallas?

I don’t know how they keep up with it.

There is a ton of insider trading stuff going on but they don't care because there's so many suckers boosting their profits it's not even worth it to go after the big fish and ruin the companys reputation of being fair with a scandal.

FultzNationRISE
03-22-2024, 03:34 PM
yeah, a parlay is tough. Even a parlay that is nothing but picking winners is tough. If it’s a five way parlay the Celtics will find a way to lose to the Pistons. The universe just wills it.

On individual bets I really don’t see how all the associates of top level players don’t win everything. I know it’s tracked to some extent and you have to have a few degrees of separation but if a friend of Luka is down on his luck and doesn’t want to ask for a straight hand out? What are the odds he can’t get his girlfriend’s cousin to put 2000 on Luka scoring over 30? Just give him the nod and wink.

Luka is scoring 30 any time he wants.

The leagues watch for weird betting patterns with insiders at the sport books but how rare would a Luka over be in and around Dallas?

I don’t know how they keep up with it.


Luka has a bazillion dollars, if one of his actual friends really needs 2,000 bucks theres just no reason to try and help the guy thru some elaborate gambling arrangement rather than just throwing 2,000 dollars worth of bills in the guy’s face and saying “dont be stupid with this money cuz Im not fixing basketball wagers and Im not giving you any more.”

I mean there might be players that get tempted into trying something but if you get greedy and do it regularly youll likely get caught. And for a one time thing, it’s just not even worth it.

Kblaze8855
03-22-2024, 05:27 PM
I don’t think it would be that complicated. I think it would just be a “Man….i need 30 tonight. You got me?” kinda thing. And once he says yes you maybe call a couple people nobody would notice and tell them it’s safe to put the rent on the over.

Im sure it happens.

brownmamba00
03-24-2024, 09:11 AM
Team parlays are easier.

Kings @ Magic 1
Hornets@ ATL 213,5 over
Boston@ CHI 222,5 over
Nets@Knicks 203,5 under
Spurs@Suns 2 >10 points

Kblaze8855
03-25-2024, 09:59 AM
Go or no?

https://www.hostpic.org/images/2403251928260353.jpeg

Kblaze8855
03-25-2024, 10:50 AM
It’s already invalid, because they dropped Jokic points/assists to 21.5 and Leonards payout by 5. The minute by minute nature of these things is annoying. I don’t know if an injury report came out or what but I have to rebuild it to place it. I’m like 15 minutes from a draft Kings state and it actually can tell the difference so I’ll have to run over to NC(avoiding any Indian apparently).

Real Men Wear Green
03-25-2024, 10:52 AM
If you are a "**** it, I got plenty of money/buy drinks for the bar, I won my bet" type of guy then sure.

As a non-bettor I have a question: say Kawhi Leonard doesn't play. Do you get your money back or is it an automatic loss?

Kblaze8855
03-25-2024, 04:12 PM
I wouldn’t say I do it because I have plenty of money it’s just for fun. I would make bets when I was broke. Just something extra to attach to enjoy it more. I’ve never had a problem though. I have a friend who does so I know not to involve him much. I recently took a woman to a casino and she blew her whole check just in the morning before check out. I’ve never been that type. Just ****ing around. Now…I will buy drinks for everybody but that’s not too expensive if you do it once. I tend to be with others who will reciprocate. And it’s not like I’m drinking at Club Liv.

ask for your question if a player is hurt during a game you just lose if he doesn’t get his numbers. If he doesn’t play, it’s voided. Like nothing was bet to begin with. I assume in a parlay that means you win what you would have won with the reduced payout for a smaller parlay, but I don’t remember it ever happening. I’m sure it does but I don’t bet enough to know.

Kblaze8855
03-25-2024, 06:30 PM
This was nicely timed


https://www.hostpic.org/images/2403260358000353.jpeg

Real Men Wear Green
03-25-2024, 06:54 PM
My first thought was his career is over... but then it occurred to me that going to prison is a much bigger problem. His brother can likely get him a good lawyer but the background story is way too suspect. If he is offered a deal that doesn't get him locked up he should take it no matter what it is. His brother may cut him oft after it's all over but I bet he will at least do what he can to keep him out of jail.

Kblaze8855
03-25-2024, 08:38 PM
Not sure how he could fix it except to intentionally stay below them even when given time. That’s pretty much point shaving. Intentionally not rebounding. Things like that. He’d have to be gone if they could prove he intentionally played poorly. Someone has to be the example and he’s the perfect nobody to give the death penalty. I just don’t know how you prove someone missed on purpose or isn’t rebounding or passing.

ImKobe
03-26-2024, 04:30 AM
Well, someone in his circle would've had to make those bets, or he could have implicated himself in some recording and/or group chat.

He must have been in some deep shit before getting caught though. You'd think that his priority would have been to play hard and not miss any games in order to secure another NBA contract over this short term scheme bs that would have likely gotten him cut from the team and never signed again, even without getting caught for betting lol. His numbers this year actually aren't that bad for the amount of minutes played, could have probably stuck around the league another few years.

bladefd
03-26-2024, 03:36 PM
yeah, a parlay is tough. Even a parlay that is nothing but picking winners is tough. If it’s a five way parlay the Celtics will find a way to lose to the Pistons. The universe just wills it.

On individual bets I really don’t see how all the associates of top level players don’t win everything. I know it’s tracked to some extent and you have to have a few degrees of separation but if a friend of Luka is down on his luck and doesn’t want to ask for a straight hand out? What are the odds he can’t get his girlfriend’s cousin to put 2000 on Luka scoring over 30? Just give him the nod and wink.

Luka is scoring 30 any time he wants.

The leagues watch for weird betting patterns with insiders at the sport books but how rare would a Luka over be in and around Dallas?

I don’t know how they keep up with it.

Player parlays might work better then team winners or over/under parlay. Have to be conservative though for small ROI.

bladefd
03-26-2024, 03:41 PM
It’s already invalid, because they dropped Jokic points/assists to 21.5 and Leonards payout by 5. The minute by minute nature of these things is annoying. I don’t know if an injury report came out or what but I have to rebuild it to place it. I’m like 15 minutes from a draft Kings state and it actually can tell the difference so I’ll have to run over to NC(avoiding any Indian apparently).

Yesterday I did a 9 leg parlay on fanduels. The odds changed for all 9 things at once the moment I added them. The winning potential went down, forcing me to make changes. It's clear to me that they cheat. I suspect they use AI that alters odds automatically once it sees who is adding who their parlay. It's instantaneous.

bladefd
03-26-2024, 03:42 PM
I wouldn’t say I do it because I have plenty of money it’s just for fun. I would make bets when I was broke. Just something extra to attach to enjoy it more. I’ve never had a problem though. I have a friend who does so I know not to involve him much. I recently took a woman to a casino and she blew her whole check just in the morning before check out. I’ve never been that type. Just ****ing around. Now…I will buy drinks for everybody but that’s not too expensive if you do it once. I tend to be with others who will reciprocate. And it’s not like I’m drinking at Club Liv.

ask for your question if a player is hurt during a game you just lose if he doesn’t get his numbers. If he doesn’t play, it’s voided. Like nothing was bet to begin with. I assume in a parlay that means you win what you would have won with the reduced payout for a smaller parlay, but I don’t remember it ever happening. I’m sure it does but I don’t bet enough to know.

It happened to me with d'lo 2 days ago. He was out so he became void. The winning potential dropped

Kblaze8855
03-26-2024, 07:06 PM
Turns out beta north of $10,000 came flooding in on all this guys unders then he takes himself out of the game early with an eye injury. All his unders hit. It was noticed because it was the single biggest loss for DraftKings that day and it popped a red flag in the system. This Nobody had so many bets on his under it was the biggest loss of the day companywide.

He and whatever group put him up to this are ****ing idiots.

There are some really curious reactions by the Warriors that makes it looks like they were betting on the spread a few times but you can’t make it that clear with all the bets.

Somebody nobody ever heard of even having $10,000 bets on them should trigger an automatic investigation

Kblaze8855
04-12-2024, 07:17 AM
Killing me Chef

https://www.hostpic.org/images/2404121645490372.jpeg

warriorfan
04-12-2024, 07:37 AM
Killing me Chef

https://www.hostpic.org/images/2404121645490372.jpeg

legit never take a steph prop


he don’t care about any of that

Kblaze8855
04-12-2024, 10:13 AM
I don’t need him to Care. I need them to make more than eight of his 22 shots goddamnit.

FultzNationRISE
04-12-2024, 01:44 PM
I don’t need him to Care. I need them to make more than eight of his 22 shots goddamnit.

It was basically a must win game for them (if they wanna double their chances of playoff entry).

Gotta point that finger at yourself chief.

Kblaze8855
04-12-2024, 02:12 PM
I knew they needed the win against a shit team, so I figured he would go crazy early. Would have won just under $1000. Granted I probably would’ve turned around and lost that trying to flip it to 10,000 but I maintain my outrage.

Kblaze8855
04-12-2024, 06:15 PM
Have a couple Tonight hoping Embiid plays limited minutes, but gets a double double and Maxi put in work. My other one is just assuming Wembley wants to end the season on a high note and Jokic doesn’t care. I’ll win like 300 something. Just wanted to put something in on my way out of the DraftKings state to one that won’t let me bet.

elementally morale
04-12-2024, 06:29 PM
Hav Tonight hoping Embiid plays limited minutes, but gets a double double and Maxi put in work. My other one is just assuming Wembley wants to end the season on a high note and Jokic doesn’t care. I’ll win like 300 something. Just wanted to put something in on my way out of the DraftKings state to one that won’t let me bet.

Jokic may not care as far as individual stats are concerned but Denver should definitely care. They worked hard post ASG to become #1 in the West, why throw it away now?

Kblaze8855
04-12-2024, 07:28 PM
For that game I think I have jokic under 28 but getting a double double and wemby going over 23 and 10 rebounds and making two threes. Something like that. I’m thinking the Nuggets utterly destroye the Spurs and Joker spends whatever time he plays after they build the lead as a playmaker, just letting the game come to him. I thought about adding that he would get a triple double but felt like I was pushing my luck.

ArbitraryWater
04-12-2024, 07:56 PM
Parlays are for suckers.

Never gonna make money that way.


You need to have optimal bankroll so you can do singles and compare bookies to find 1 giving better odds which basically erase the margin they have.

Street Hunger
04-12-2024, 08:27 PM
What's the most popular kind of bet to make on an NBA game? A team covering the spread, right.

Kblaze8855
04-12-2024, 08:30 PM
If I Worried about the money I would do some basic research. I don’t even check injury reports. I’ve never bet an amount of money I would notice being gone. Just a little something extra to check at the end of the night. The bets I don’t want to lose arent usually for money. I had a bet where the loser had to literally bend the knee, and acknowledge being wrong while kneeling respectfully(with a hundred dollar buyout option at the discretion of the winner).

shit like that would bug me to lose. A parlay is just ****ing around. Cant even brag when you win. It’s pure luck. Damn near like hitting on slots.

Kblaze8855
04-12-2024, 08:31 PM
What's the most popular kind of bet to make on an NBA game? A team covering the spread, right.

yeah, I would assume so. I never make those bets.

Kblaze8855
04-13-2024, 07:22 AM
I ended up 2 wemby blocks from a 6 way win that game.

Kblaze8855
05-22-2024, 08:31 PM
Watching this from the sportsbook in a casino. Pray for me.

FultzNationRISE
05-22-2024, 08:34 PM
Watching this from the sportsbook in a casino. Pray for me.

Are you still coppin a spot in the hill country?