View Full Version : Who's winning each swing state
SouBeachTalents
11-03-2024, 02:28 PM
Call your shot, I'll be curious to see who comes closest to getting these right
Pennsylvania- Harris
North Carolina- Trump
Georgia- Trump
Michigan- Harris
Arizona- Trump
Wisconsin- Harris
Nevada- Harris
I feel more confident in my Trump picks than my Harris ones, Pennsylvania to me is the toughest one to call.
1987_Lakers
11-03-2024, 02:40 PM
Pennsylvania- Trump
North Carolina- Trump
Georgia- Trump
Michigan- Trump
Arizona- Trump
Wisconsin- Trump
Nevada- Trump
SouBeachTalents
11-03-2024, 02:46 PM
Pennsylvania- Trump
North Carolina- Trump
Georgia- Trump
Michigan- Trump
Arizona- Trump
Wisconsin- Trump
Nevada- Trump
C'mon guys, serious answers!
North Carolina is a swing state?
Neal Romer
11-03-2024, 04:25 PM
If neither candidate wins the electoral college by at least 150 points, Lebron should be named President.
BigKobeFan
11-03-2024, 05:06 PM
Pennsylvania- Trump
North Carolina- Trump
Georgia- Trump
Michigan- Trump
Arizona- Trump
Wisconsin- Trump
Nevada- Trump
This is the correct answer
TheMan
11-03-2024, 05:45 PM
Call your shot, I'll be curious to see who comes closest to getting these right
Pennsylvania- Harris
North Carolina- Trump
Georgia- Trump
Michigan- Harris
Arizona- Trump
Wisconsin- Harris
Nevada- Harris
I feel more confident in my Trump picks than my Harris ones, Pennsylvania to me is the toughest one to call.
I believe this is the most likely scenario.
Having said that, I wouldn't be surprised if Trump takes one of the 3 rust belt states and Harris splits one of NC or GA.
JohnnySic
11-03-2024, 06:34 PM
Trump should win every one except Michigan, unless there are "we're still counting the votes" shenanigans again.
bladefd
11-03-2024, 07:27 PM
Pennsylvania- Trump
North Carolina- Trump
Georgia- Trump
Michigan- Trump
Arizona- Trump
Wisconsin- Trump
Nevada- Trump
I'm calling it now. Put.. I mean Trump is winning all 50 states and Puerto Rico too.
Patrick Chewing
11-03-2024, 08:55 PM
Trump with a clean sweep!
Hey Yo
11-03-2024, 09:10 PM
Donny wins all but Michigan and Wisconsin
bookmarkit
Jasper
11-03-2024, 09:21 PM
Donny wins all but Michigan and Wisconsin
bookmarkit
then u have your hitler
Real Men Wear Green
11-04-2024, 08:01 AM
I think Trump will win Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina. Most likely upset they're is North Carolina because of that Mark Robinson guy.
If I had to bet on the rest individually I would say they go to Harris but as close as it is I don't feel confident she sweeps them all.
Weird new development is a poll a day or two ago that gave Iowa to Harris.
Hey Yo
11-04-2024, 09:18 AM
I think Trump will win Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina. Most likely upset they're is North Carolina because of that Mark Robinson guy.
If I had to bet on the rest individually I would say they go to Harris but as close as it is I don't feel confident she sweeps them all.
Weird new development is a poll a day or two ago that gave Iowa to Harris.
One of em' are off big time.
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2024-iowa-poll-trump-53-harris-43/
Doomsday Dallas
11-04-2024, 10:44 AM
I think it's a guarantee that Harris takes Pennsylvania.
Bill Gates
11-04-2024, 11:05 AM
Momentum is clearly with Harris going in. Will it be enough? Really hard to say.
I've said this numerous times now, whoever wins Pennsylvania will win it all.
1987_Lakers
11-04-2024, 11:52 AM
Momentum is clearly with Harris going in. Will it be enough? Really hard to say.
I've said this numerous times now, whoever wins Pennsylvania will win it all.
Only momentum she is getting is from that fake Iowa poll.
That poll alone shook up all the betting odds, but now this morning the betting odds are back up to 60/40 Trump.
Bill Gates
11-04-2024, 01:35 PM
Only momentum she is getting is from that fake Iowa poll.
That poll alone shook up all the betting odds, but now this morning the betting odds are back up to 60/40 Trump.
Betting odds don't mean anything, their only basis is who has bet on what. There is nothing real backing them. All of the swing state polls are teetering back toward Harris and the early voting data points in her favor. It is looking like all of the polls may have under sampled women.
The big one though is Pennsylvania where it looks like a 50/50.
ZenMaster
11-04-2024, 02:07 PM
Betting odds don't mean anything, their only basis is who has bet on what. There is nothing real backing them. All of the swing state polls are teetering back toward Harris and the early voting data points in her favor. It is looking like all of the polls may have under sampled women.
The big one though is Pennsylvania where it looks like a 50/50.
So what happened over the weekend, all of the swing state pollsters updated their sampling and included more women to get more precise results?
TheMan
11-04-2024, 07:03 PM
So what happened over the weekend, all of the swing state pollsters updated their sampling and included more women to get more precise results?
Who knows but poll after poll have men decidedly going with Trump while women are just as decidedly with Harris. The problem for the Trump campaign is that women so far have outpaced men 55-45. Men need to out vote women tomorrow by massive numbers but the problem still lies in that women simply outnumber men.
I said really early on that if Harris wins, it's women who got her there.
Hey Yo
11-04-2024, 07:14 PM
Who knows but poll after poll have men decidedly going with Trump while women are just as decidedly with Harris. The problem for the Trump campaign is that women so far have outpaced men 55-45. Men need to out vote women tomorrow by massive numbers but the problem still lies in that women simply outnumber men.
I said really early on that if Harris wins, it's women who got her there.
I heard earlier that women voting for Trump is outpacing men voting for Harris.
Bill Gates
11-04-2024, 07:56 PM
I heard earlier that women voting for Trump is outpacing men voting for Harris.
Nope
https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2024/11/gender-site-1024x735.png
This was today
And because of this Harris will certainly win the popular vote. It's the Electoral Collage that is tricky.
Patrick Chewing
11-04-2024, 09:18 PM
Momentum is clearly with Harris going in. Will it be enough? Really hard to say.
I've said this numerous times now, whoever wins Pennsylvania will win it all.
:roll:
What a clown. Kamala has no ****ing momentum whatsoever. She will get creamed tomorrow.
eliteballer
11-04-2024, 10:37 PM
Look how vicious and aggressive the Trumptards in this thread are.
It's so obvious who the bad guys are.
Media Moderator
11-04-2024, 10:48 PM
Who knows but poll after poll have men decidedly going with Trump while women are just as decidedly with Harris.
In other words OTC/Bil Gates, Blade, Burning Hammer, LakersLegend/eliteballer and RMWG have a vag between their legs
eliteballer
11-04-2024, 11:10 PM
In other words OTC/Bil Gates, Blade, Burning Hammer, LakersLegend/eliteballer and RMWG have a vag between their legs
Nah, we just got brains between our heads.
TheMan
11-05-2024, 02:43 AM
In other words OTC/Bil Gates, Blade, Burning Hammer, LakersLegend/eliteballer and RMWG have a vag between their legs
Anyone who considers that whining sex offender an alpha male doesn't know what an alpha is. Just because you're crude, racist, and use foul language doesn't make you alpha.
ZenMaster
11-05-2024, 03:09 AM
Who knows but poll after poll have men decidedly going with Trump while women are just as decidedly with Harris. The problem for the Trump campaign is that women so far have outpaced men 55-45. Men need to out vote women tomorrow by massive numbers but the problem still lies in that women simply outnumber men.
I said really early on that if Harris wins, it's women who got her there.
You'd hope that people yapping about polls and what the numbers mean all the time would be able to answer such a basic question, but I guess not.
TheMan
11-05-2024, 11:01 AM
You'd hope that people yapping about polls and what the numbers mean all the time would be able to answer such a basic question, but I guess not.
There are analysts that have been saying for the last few weeks now that real voting data shows women heavily out voting men, in Pennsylvania 13% more women than men have already voted. Polls haven't taken this into consideration. They argue that because of that, it's Harris who most likely will overperform this time, not Trump. I guess we'll all see tonight :cheers:
Off the Court
11-05-2024, 12:58 PM
Anyone who considers that whining sex offender an alpha male doesn't know what an alpha is. Just because you're crude, racist, and use foul language doesn't make you alpha.
That actually points to insecurity. A man who is trying to mask his fears and hide himself from others.
SouBeachTalents
11-05-2024, 01:11 PM
That actually points to insecurity. A man who is trying to mask his fears and hide himself from others.
It's the constant boasting and inability to admit even the smallest failing or mistake that shows true insecurity to me. I blame his father Fred for that.
j3lademaster
11-05-2024, 02:13 PM
It's the constant boasting and inability to admit even the smallest failing or mistake that shows true insecurity to me. I blame his father Fred for that.
It was Roy Cohn, the father of the “never admit you’re wrong” approach. He was gay and supported anti lgbt policies and politicians and died of aids, his most famous quote(paraphrasing): “I don’t want to know what the law is, I want to know who the judge is”.
Pennsylvania- Trymp
North Carolina- Trump
Georgia- Trump
Michigan- Harris
Arizona- Harris
Wisconsin- Harris
Nevada- Harris
Trump 270
Harris 268
ArbitraryWater
11-05-2024, 09:21 PM
Trump with a healthy lead in Georgia
highwhey
11-05-2024, 09:23 PM
i'm taking Trump to win Arizona, i;ve noticed far more Trump flags and signs on lawns diriving around all over the valley than for Harris.
ArbitraryWater
11-05-2024, 09:25 PM
i'm taking Trump to win Arizona, i;ve noticed far more Trump flags and signs on lawns diriving around all over the valley than for Harris.
Who was projected to win Ohio?
highwhey
11-05-2024, 09:27 PM
Who was projected to win Ohio?
donnie t
ArbitraryWater
11-05-2024, 09:28 PM
donnie t
Thx
ArbitraryWater
11-06-2024, 12:03 AM
Pennsylvania- Trump
North Carolina- Trump
Georgia- Trump
Michigan- Trump
Arizona- Trump
Wisconsin- Trump
Nevada- Trump
looks like you were right
1987_Lakers
11-06-2024, 02:54 AM
Momentum is clearly with Harris going in.
:oldlol:
SouBeachTalents
11-06-2024, 10:27 AM
While I do think 1987 Lakers was at least somewhat trolling with that post it's fvcking wild he's going to actually sweep all those states :lol I would have never in a million years predicted that, specifically winning Michigan, Wisconsin AND Pennsylvania.
1987_Lakers
11-06-2024, 10:28 AM
Pennsylvania- Trump
North Carolina- Trump
Georgia- Trump
Michigan- Trump
Arizona- Trump
Wisconsin- Trump
Nevada- Trump
https://media.tenor.com/PYkfPbcAZhUAAAAM/thats-nice.gif
1987_Lakers
11-06-2024, 10:31 AM
While I do think 1987 Lakers was at least somewhat trolling with that post, but it's fvcking wild he's going to sweep all those states :lol I would have never in a million years seen that coming, specifically Michigan, Wisconsin AND Pennsylvania.
To be honest with you I had all these swing states going to Trump, mostly because the most accurate poll in 2020 & 2022 (AtlasIntel) had Trump taking every swing state. Only state I was kinda 50/50 about was Michigan.
hold this L
11-06-2024, 10:46 AM
Whens the last time Rep won the popular vote?
ArbitraryWater
11-06-2024, 10:47 AM
Whens the last time Rep won the popular vote?
Reagan in 80s
1987_Lakers
11-06-2024, 10:49 AM
Whens the last time Rep won the popular vote?
Bush in 2004 I'm guessing.
1987_Lakers
11-06-2024, 11:02 PM
I think Trump will win Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina. Most likely upset they're is North Carolina because of that Mark Robinson guy.
If I had to bet on the rest individually I would say they go to Harris but as close as it is I don't feel confident she sweeps them all.
Weird new development is a poll a day or two ago that gave Iowa to Harris.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_asNhzXq72w
AKA_AAP
11-11-2024, 02:14 AM
Pennsylvania- Trump
North Carolina- Trump
Georgia- Trump
Michigan- Trump
Arizona- Trump
Wisconsin- Trump
Nevada- Trump
:bowdown:
Hey Yo
11-11-2024, 08:55 AM
Nope
https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2024/11/gender-site-1024x735.png
This was today
And because of this Harris will certainly win the popular vote. It's the Electoral Collage that is tricky.
:lol
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