ArbitraryWater
11-06-2024, 11:25 AM
If you want accurate odds as to who will win look at Nate Silver and Allan Lichtman. Both famous statisticians. Lichtman has predicted the last 10 elections and was one of the few who predicted the 2016 Trump victory. Silver was also very high on Trump in 2016 and has been analyzing polls forever. He is the founder of 538 but left them. He knows which polls are trustworthy and which ones are flawed.
https://x.com/AriDrennen/status/1853525794670436700
Jon Ralston, who has never botched a Nevada Presidential call, predicts a Harris win in the state.
Professor Litchman, who got a lot of flak for being one of the few who predicted Trump in 2016 and he's been right in every prediction going back to 1980 (he predicted Gore in 2000 but if you want a stolen election, that was exactly that) still saying Harris gonna get the W. Same with Michael Moore, who also said Trump in 2016 is going with Camel Toe.
Don't shoot the messenger, Trumptards :lol
https://youtu.be/1INviKkv7-c?si=MwQusI3aRTAzbY0k
This video explains why Trump has exploded on betting markets, especially on Polly Market when aggregate of polls basically say Harris still has at least 50/50 odds of winning the presidency. Seems like low IQs like 1987_Lakers are getting duped...again :lol Musk is probably the dude gaming the markets, very suspicious betting markets started going in favor of Trump immediately after a tweet of his :lol
:rolleyes:
https://x.com/AriDrennen/status/1853525794670436700
Jon Ralston, who has never botched a Nevada Presidential call, predicts a Harris win in the state.
Professor Litchman, who got a lot of flak for being one of the few who predicted Trump in 2016 and he's been right in every prediction going back to 1980 (he predicted Gore in 2000 but if you want a stolen election, that was exactly that) still saying Harris gonna get the W. Same with Michael Moore, who also said Trump in 2016 is going with Camel Toe.
Don't shoot the messenger, Trumptards :lol
https://youtu.be/1INviKkv7-c?si=MwQusI3aRTAzbY0k
This video explains why Trump has exploded on betting markets, especially on Polly Market when aggregate of polls basically say Harris still has at least 50/50 odds of winning the presidency. Seems like low IQs like 1987_Lakers are getting duped...again :lol Musk is probably the dude gaming the markets, very suspicious betting markets started going in favor of Trump immediately after a tweet of his :lol
:rolleyes: