STARTERS
DARREN COLLISON, PG
Projection: 18.7 pts, 3.4 reb, 7.9 ast per 40 min; 16.88 PER | Player card
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STARTERS
DARREN COLLISON, PG
Projection: 18.7 pts, 3.4 reb, 7.9 ast per 40 min; 16.88 PER | Player card
T.J. FORD, PG
Projection: 17.0 pts, 4.7 reb, 6.3 ast per 40 min; 14.08 PER | Player card
[QUOTE=evilmonkey]You are right but like i said again... you have to understand that he never had these kindof caliber of teammates before, he will pass much more and will be more of a "point-forward" and his teammates will finish of his passes more.
Magic Johnson for example averaged MUCH less possessions than Lebron, Nash, Deron and so on average much less ball dominating possessions aswell... but they still averaged more assists? Why? Because they passed more...
Heat will have MUCH more faster pace than Lebrons former team aswell, which will also create more possessions....
Spoelstra said numerous times Lebron/Wade will be used as main ballhandlers most of the time... and we all know how ball dominant Lebron is... and im sure Wade wouldnt mind it considering he will get much more scoring oppurtunities for him and considering he can concentrate more on scoring.[/QUOTE]
But you also have to understand that he will not have the ball as much in his hands as earlier.
Yes they're going to create a lot in the open court but Lebron is the best finisher in the league on the fast break so he should be looking for a lot of his points there.
Wade is one of the best pickn'roll players in the game, he will run A LOT of those next year as well. Wade's assist numbers should also go up because of better teammates.
I just don't see Lebron's assist number sky rocket, it's already very high.
He should be able to shoot a higher % though.
Overall the strength of the team doesn't have much to do with Lebron's assist number, the strength of Miami will be that they have 2 elite players and that each one can attack and create for the others at any given point. There's no need to say that one guy should be doing this and one guy should be doing that when they both can do it all.
Every year Hollinger says Kobe is going to have a big decline. I happen to agree this year, but it's just funny that it never happens.
[QUOTE=magnax1]Every year Hollinger says Kobe is going to have a big decline. I happen to agree this year, but it's just funny that it never happens.[/QUOTE]
I think having Pau and Bynum helps hide his aging on offense. and Artest covers his defensive slowness now. Personally I think his drop comes next year.
[QUOTE=Rose]I think having Pau and Bynum helps hide his aging on offense. and Artest covers his defensive slowness now. Personally I think his drop comes next year.[/QUOTE]
Well, I think he's improved enough in almost every facet the past three years to make his pretty huge decline in athleticism negligible. Really, he was having his best year last year before the injuries, but now that he's gotten arthritis real bad, and is on like his 3rd knee surgery in 5 years or so, he'll probably decline.
[QUOTE=magnax1]Well, I think he's improved enough in almost every facet the past three years to make his pretty huge decline in athleticism negligible. Really, he was having his best year last year before the injuries, but now that he's gotten arthritis real bad, and is on like his 3rd knee surgery in 5 years or so, he'll probably decline.[/QUOTE]
Yeah I agree offensively he's completely changed his game like Michael did. but I think if Pau wasn't there he'd still try chucking his way to the Finals. Yeah but the arthritis is in the finger though, it never stopped Magic, or a host of other players with bad fingers from doing good. The knee is what concerns me, but I think it's got another run in it just because of the Heat, and he knows adding a Finals victory over them adds to his legacy.
Wizards?
Brandon Jennings:
Projection: 19.9 pts, 4.1 reb, 6.9 ast per 40 min; 14.36 PER
Drew Gooden
Projection: 16.3 pts, 11.8 reb, 1.1 ast per 40 min; 15.82 PER
• Bouncy power forward who goes to glass and can finish around basket.
• Underrated midrange shooter despite unusual release. Limited post game.
• Nimble defender with good size, but tends to lose focus and make poor decisions.
For the first time in his career last season, Gooden played the majority of his minutes at center, and he's bulked up enough to hold his own on that spot. In fact, he nearly set a career high in rebound rate and finished seventh in the NBA in offensive rebound rate.
Gooden also has made tremendous progress as a shooter, with his 86.1 percent mark from the free throw line ranking first among centers. It was his second straight season in the mid-80s from the stripe, and he knocked down 45.2 percent of his long-distance 2s as well.
Choosing his spots better might be part of the reason. Gooden switched from taking 39 percent of his shots in the basket area in 2008-09 to 62.8 percent last season; the only reason his field goal percentage didn't increase more is because he shot dreadfully on "in-between" shots. Normally a solid shooter from this range, he made only 31.1 percent.
Gooden probably will drift back toward the perimeter in Milwaukee, where he figures to play more at power forward than at center, but at either position he's one of the league's more underrated players right now.
Andrew Bogut:
Projection: 19.4 pts, 12.2 reb, 2.7 ast per 40 min; 20.60 PER
• Elite help defender who takes bushels of charges and is a shot-blocking force.
• Effective right-block post weapon who likes to shoot lefty jump hooks in the lane.
• Outstanding rebounder, but a poor shooter with average speed and quickness.
Bogut enjoyed a breakout season in 2009-10, and in retrospect it's a minor travesty he didn't make the All-Star team. He's always been able to rebound, but he showcased big improvements in his scoring and defense in his fifth pro season. Bogut markedly cut his turnovers and became increasingly comfortable shooting short hooks around the basket, often after facing up from the midpost. He bumped his 40-minute scoring average by nearly five points and sharply cut his turnover rate at the same time.
Defensively, he's always been a fantastic rebounder and taken charges by the boatload. What changed last season were his shot-blocking numbers. Never renowned for his vertical, Bogut nonetheless swatted 2.54 shots per game, good for second in the league. On a per-minute basis, he blocked shots more than twice as often as he had the previous season.
Amazingly, he also ranked fourth in the league in charges drawn per game -- it's mind-boggling that a big man could go up in the air for so many blocks and still stay on the ground for so many charges. If he keeps up those numbers, his regrettable omissions from the All-Defense and All-Star teams won't continue for long.
First, however, he must overcome that horrific elbow injury he suffered in April. Bogut rarely shoots from outside, so a full recovery is less essential in that respect, but he might not be in peak basketball shape at the outset of the season.
[QUOTE=DC Zephyrs]Wizards?[/QUOTE]
Gimme a quick tick
JOHN WALL, PG
No projection | Player card
JOSH HOWARD, SF
Projection: 17.8 pts, 5.6 reb, 1.9 ast per 40 min; 12.28 PER | Player card
[b]celtics!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1[/b]
Por favor, senor, post the [B]San Antonio Spurs[/B]. Will rep a couple times. :bowdown:
Anyone else catch that he has better stats for Anthony Randolph than for Amar'e Stoudamire?
nuggets?
You guys are super cheap. ESPN Insider + ESPN the mag subscription is like $5 a month
[QUOTE=BlazersDozen]Anyone else catch that he has better stats for Anthony Randolph than for Amar'e Stoudamire?[/QUOTE]
Did you not catch the fact that the given statistics are per-40-minutes???
Anthony Randolph has proven, in limited minutes, to be a better rebounder, a more tenacious shot-blocker, and a more willing passer, then Amare has [B]ever been[/B]
Why would it not surprise you that in equal minutes he'd have a more diverse stat sheet?
Nice Job Rose:rockon: :applause:
c's, spurs, and nugs coming straight up.
TONY PARKER, PG
Projection: 20.6 pts, 3.3 reb, 7.2 ast per 40 min; 16.89 PER | Player card
DeJUAN BLAIR, PF
Projection: 18.1 pts, 14.0 reb, 2.2 ast per 40 min; 19.03 PER | Player card
CHAUNCEY BILLUPS, PG
Projection: 22.0 pts, 3.4 reb, 6.6 ast per 40 min; 19.95 PER | Player card
KENYON MARTIN, PF
Projection: 12.5 pts, 9.6 reb, 2.0 ast per 40 min; 12.44 PER | Player card
STARTERS
RAJON RONDO, PG
Projection: 15.0 pts, 4.6 reb, 9.7 ast per 40 min; 18.84 PER | Player card
KENDRICK PERKINS, C
Projection: 13.1 pts, 10.0 reb, 1.9 ast per 40 min; 13.09 PER | Player card
hmm what about OKC
RUSSELL WESTBROOK, PG
Projection: 19.6 pts, 5.7 reb, 8.9 ast per 40 min; 18.58 PER | Player card
NICK COLLISON, PF
Projection: 10.9 pts, 10.0 reb, 1.2 ast per 40 min; 12.50 PER | Player card
So he has Durant scoring 32.5 ppg and the next highest player only averaging 28....:eek:
[QUOTE=YouCallILose]So he has Durant scoring 32.5 ppg and the next highest player only averaging 28....:eek:[/QUOTE]
Durant=amazing. but it's based on 40 minutes per game.
[QUOTE=Rose]Durant=amazing. but it's based on 40 minutes per game.[/QUOTE]
Then why did all of Lebrons numbers go down? Its Per 40 based on last seasons numbers right? If so then Lebrons numbers Per 40 should be (30.5 - 7.5 - 8.9)
[QUOTE=evilmonkey]Then why did all of Lebrons numbers go down?[/QUOTE]
He's passing more so he gets less shots. Bosh is a very effective rebounder. and I really don't see his assists changing that much because Wade is more of a driver than a catch and shoot guy.
[QUOTE=Rose]He's passing more so he gets less shots. Bosh is a very effective rebounder. and I really don't see his assists changing that much because Wade is more of a driver than a catch and shoot guy.[/QUOTE]
I dont think you understand my question... Are those Hollinger Per 40 numbers based on a specific season or are they just wild guesses to how much the players will average this upcoming season per 40?
However the case, they got it all wrong both ways.
[QUOTE=Rose]Durant=amazing. but it's based on 40 minutes per game.[/QUOTE]
You missed the part where Durant averaged 40 MPG last season
Actually over the last 2 seasons combined he's averaging 39.3 mpg
:roll: @ people taking Hollinger seriously.
[QUOTE=Willkill24]:roll: @ people taking Hollinger seriously.[/QUOTE]
So which part of his analysis don't you agree with?
[QUOTE=evilmonkey]I dont think you understand my question... Are those Hollinger Per 40 numbers based on a specific season or are they just wild guesses to how much the players will average this upcoming season per 40?
However the case, they got it all wrong both ways.[/QUOTE]
He has years and years of data for players of the same "type." He uses those to base what a certain player's stats will be for the upcoming season.
For instance, let's pick a random player... Kirk Hinrich. He will loosely base that player on a player from the past, let's say he related Kirk to Mark Price.
Now, he'll look at Mark Price's career, year-over-year, to base if he thinks the current player will increase in production, decrease, or whatnot.
It's all done by the computer, so he just reports on the games he watches and compares it to the numbers the computer spits out.
And, as someone else posted earlier, his numbers always try to tug players back to "average" levels... if they performed very well one year, the next year the law of averages will say he'll be a bit worse. If he performed terribly one year, the law of averages will say he'll be a bit better.
Another example is Kobe... by all accounts (from the massive data collected over the years), wing players who depend on athleticism decline rapidly after age 30 (see Tmac and others from history), so his 'projected' numbers ALWAYS have Kobe getting much worse, but Kobe generally bucks these trends by changing his game as he gets older.
[QUOTE=YouCallILose]You missed the part where Durant averaged 40 MPG last season
Actually over the last 2 seasons combined he's averaging 39.3 mpg[/QUOTE]
Yeah I thought you meant westbrook or another thunder was averaging 28 my bad. I never read the thunder projection. :roll: