STARTERS
RAJON RONDO, PG
Projection: 15.0 pts, 4.6 reb, 9.7 ast per 40 min; 18.84 PER | Player card
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STARTERS
RAJON RONDO, PG
Projection: 15.0 pts, 4.6 reb, 9.7 ast per 40 min; 18.84 PER | Player card
KENDRICK PERKINS, C
Projection: 13.1 pts, 10.0 reb, 1.9 ast per 40 min; 13.09 PER | Player card
hmm what about OKC
RUSSELL WESTBROOK, PG
Projection: 19.6 pts, 5.7 reb, 8.9 ast per 40 min; 18.58 PER | Player card
NICK COLLISON, PF
Projection: 10.9 pts, 10.0 reb, 1.2 ast per 40 min; 12.50 PER | Player card
So he has Durant scoring 32.5 ppg and the next highest player only averaging 28....:eek:
[QUOTE=YouCallILose]So he has Durant scoring 32.5 ppg and the next highest player only averaging 28....:eek:[/QUOTE]
Durant=amazing. but it's based on 40 minutes per game.
[QUOTE=Rose]Durant=amazing. but it's based on 40 minutes per game.[/QUOTE]
Then why did all of Lebrons numbers go down? Its Per 40 based on last seasons numbers right? If so then Lebrons numbers Per 40 should be (30.5 - 7.5 - 8.9)
[QUOTE=evilmonkey]Then why did all of Lebrons numbers go down?[/QUOTE]
He's passing more so he gets less shots. Bosh is a very effective rebounder. and I really don't see his assists changing that much because Wade is more of a driver than a catch and shoot guy.
[QUOTE=Rose]He's passing more so he gets less shots. Bosh is a very effective rebounder. and I really don't see his assists changing that much because Wade is more of a driver than a catch and shoot guy.[/QUOTE]
I dont think you understand my question... Are those Hollinger Per 40 numbers based on a specific season or are they just wild guesses to how much the players will average this upcoming season per 40?
However the case, they got it all wrong both ways.
[QUOTE=Rose]Durant=amazing. but it's based on 40 minutes per game.[/QUOTE]
You missed the part where Durant averaged 40 MPG last season
Actually over the last 2 seasons combined he's averaging 39.3 mpg
:roll: @ people taking Hollinger seriously.
[QUOTE=Willkill24]:roll: @ people taking Hollinger seriously.[/QUOTE]
So which part of his analysis don't you agree with?
[QUOTE=evilmonkey]I dont think you understand my question... Are those Hollinger Per 40 numbers based on a specific season or are they just wild guesses to how much the players will average this upcoming season per 40?
However the case, they got it all wrong both ways.[/QUOTE]
He has years and years of data for players of the same "type." He uses those to base what a certain player's stats will be for the upcoming season.
For instance, let's pick a random player... Kirk Hinrich. He will loosely base that player on a player from the past, let's say he related Kirk to Mark Price.
Now, he'll look at Mark Price's career, year-over-year, to base if he thinks the current player will increase in production, decrease, or whatnot.
It's all done by the computer, so he just reports on the games he watches and compares it to the numbers the computer spits out.
And, as someone else posted earlier, his numbers always try to tug players back to "average" levels... if they performed very well one year, the next year the law of averages will say he'll be a bit worse. If he performed terribly one year, the law of averages will say he'll be a bit better.
Another example is Kobe... by all accounts (from the massive data collected over the years), wing players who depend on athleticism decline rapidly after age 30 (see Tmac and others from history), so his 'projected' numbers ALWAYS have Kobe getting much worse, but Kobe generally bucks these trends by changing his game as he gets older.
[QUOTE=YouCallILose]You missed the part where Durant averaged 40 MPG last season
Actually over the last 2 seasons combined he's averaging 39.3 mpg[/QUOTE]
Yeah I thought you meant westbrook or another thunder was averaging 28 my bad. I never read the thunder projection. :roll: