Originally Posted by Nanners
you are entirely correct that correlation =/= causation, a lot of things have changed in the US overall other than just gun ownership during the last two decades that crime rates have been dropping.
NYC crime rates were horrible in the 80s, but today NYC is a very safe city. New York is possibly the most strongly anti-gun state in this entire country. Do you think the change in crime rates in NYC has anything to do with gun ownership?
My own personal belief is that there are many things contributing to the crime rate going down, I think that the US population is actually advancing despite the bad rap people like to give us, we are getting smarter. I'm not sure about NYC in general, but I bet that gun ownership is one of the factors that lowers it in the US...burglary in general I think is affected the most.
I think there are several tiers...NO GUNS AT ALL being the tier with the lowest crime rate, then after that there is an area where few guns makes for a very high crime rate, and then going higher lowers it from there...and then there is probably a tier where a ridiculous amount that we have not seen yet then makes it go back up.