Originally Posted by rmt
He can be confident all he wants, but the Lakers will need help (losing) from HOU or UTA. They are 3 losses and 4 wins behind HOU and 5 losses and 5 wins behind UTA (UTA having the tiebreak) so LAL will need to win and ALSO get losses from HOU and UTA. HOU's schedule looks pretty easy - 4 games vs PHX. They only have 25-26 games left so 4.5-5 games are not so easy to make up. It may come down to the final game of the season LAL vs HOU.
Just look at the plus minus on Utah and Golden State. One of those two will fall low enough for the Lakers to pass them up.