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NBA Legend
Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
Statistics site 538, which is operated by Nate Silver, adjusted its projections ahead of the debate Monday, giving the odds to Republican nominee Donald Trump.
If the election were held today, Trump leads with a 54.9 percent chance of winning the election, according to the site. The win projection stems from Trump winning the key battleground states of Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Nevada. The same projection shows Clinton winning Pennsylvania, Colorado, and Virginia.
Clinton had a 92 percent chance of winning in the first week of August, and has been in a steady decline ever since.
Trump gained the national lead in the latest Morning Consult and Bloomberg polls, and took the lead in Colorado, reducing Clinton’s chances of winning that state.
Not that I care about what Nate Silver says, I just thought it was funny that some were parroting his work on here months ago.
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Good college starter
Re: Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
We have been on the surge lately but remember this is still before The Debate. Last time Trump said a bunch of crazy shit about how he knows more than our Generals and wants to take all the oil out of the Middle East.
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Re: Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
Nate Silver is 99/100 in the past two elections I think.
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Decent college freshman
Re: Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
Originally Posted by DonDadda59
You dudes will never learn. Before Clinton had a 92% chance of winning, the Donald was up at 538 (somewhere around 55%) for a handful of days following the RNC.
Right now The Donald's "lead" is already gone.
Enjoy the show tonight.
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Re: Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
Originally Posted by Duderonomy
Last time the Clintons were in the oval office:
[INDENT]Yet over the next eight years, President Clinton presided over one of the most impressive economic turnarounds in modern history. [COLOR="Red"]By the end of his term, 22.7 million new jobs had been created, unemployment dropped to a 30-year low, and gross domestic product grew by 35 percent overall through the longest period of sustained growth in U.S. history.[/COLOR]
What
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NBA Legend
Re: Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
Originally Posted by DonDadda59
You dudes will never learn. Before Clinton had a 92% chance of winning, the Donald was up at 538 (somewhere around 55%) for a handful of days following the RNC.
Yep, it got to be 50.1% for about a day on July 30th, but kinda...
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Re: Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
Originally Posted by UK2K
Yep, it got to be 50.1% for about a day on July 30th, but kinda...
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NBA Legend
Re: Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
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Re: Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
Originally Posted by UK2K
Bruh, you just linked me to the polls-only section. Your OP was about 'who would win today' (AKA Now Cast), under that metric (as I proved to you) the Donald was at 55% following the RNC before his epic collapse.
Either way, Clinton is up by all of Silver's metrics.
Hope you enjoyed the hour or so when the Donald was up.
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Big Booty Hoes!!
Re: Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
Originally Posted by Ben Simmons
Nate Silver is 99/100 in the past two elections I think.
Nate Silver has predicted both outcomes multiple times.
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NBA rookie of the year
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It is what it is
Re: Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
Originally Posted by dude77
daddio on perpetual meltdown since sept 1
dems are scared and nervous ..
the panic is real ..
this is how I picture daddio and co. when they try to post 'confidently'
Funny gif, what movie is that from?
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It is what it is
Re: Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
BTW, Nate Silver has Shillary up 55%-45% chances of winning the election atm.
RCP currently has HC winning FL and taking 292 EVs to 246 if the election were held today.
Obviously the debates can change the dynamic for each candidate...or it could be a wash and this thing goes down the wire.
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NBA rookie of the year
Re: Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
I hope Trump wins, America deserves this.
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