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  1. #1
    tr Springsteen's Avatar
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    Default 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers



    #hardestroad!?!?

  2. #2
    NBA lottery pick Shogon's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

    26% is a pretty substantial number and not to be sneezed at.

    Also, I didn't know what 538 is, so I googled it...

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...a-predictions/

    It actually says 27%, fwiw. 27% is a rather substantial number. It's not insignificant. I could be wrong, been wrong before, don't see the Lakers sweeping this like some people make it out to be. I'm going to guess Lakers in 6 but it wouldn't shock me if Miami wins. The thing is, this is not a normal year... they're in the bubble. If they were playing in front of crowds, I don't think Miami is even here right now, to be perfectly honest. But they're not in front of crowds, and it makes a difference.

  3. #3
    4 ring - 4 FMVP - 4MVP J Shuttlesworth's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

    Quote Originally Posted by Shogon View Post
    26% is a pretty substantial number and not to be sneezed at.

    Also, I didn't know what 538 is, so I googled it...

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...a-predictions/

    It actually says 27%, fwiw. 27% is a rather substantial number. It's not insignificant. I could be wrong, been wrong before, don't see the Lakers sweeping this like some people make it out to be. I'm going to guess Lakers in 6 but it wouldn't shock me if Miami wins. The thing is, this is not a normal year... they're in the bubble. If they were playing in front of crowds, I don't think Miami is even here right now, to be perfectly honest. But they're not in front of crowds, and it makes a difference.
    You know what's an even more substantial number than 27%?

    73% you ****ing moron

  4. #4
    NBA lottery pick Shogon's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

    Quote Originally Posted by J Shuttlesworth View Post
    You know what's an even more substantial number than 27%?

    73% you ****ing moron
    Right but the point is it's not even close to a guarantee. If you were given a 27% chance of dying on your way to work today, your ass would stay at home. And if not, then you're too stupid to understand 27%.

  5. #5
    Not airballing my layups anymore
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    Default Re: 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

    Quote Originally Posted by J Shuttlesworth View Post
    You know what's an even more substantial number than 27%?

    73% you ****ing moron

  6. #6
    Banned warriorfan's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

    Vegas with Lakers -350 and Heat +300 sounds more legit.

    Heat at +300 isn’t a bad bet at all. Its tough to bet against LA though even with how well the Heat are playing. The Lakers have the clear cut two best players in the series. That is tough to overcome.

  7. #7
    Please clap. Real Men Wear Green's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

    I hope they're right but Davis and James are going to be the best players on the floor and I doubt it's close between either of them and Butler or Adebayo. LA has greater talent in those two and won't make the Celtics' mental mistakes with all of the turnovers.

  8. #8
    Landslide honors LAmbruh's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

    against all odds

  9. #9
    NBA lottery pick Shogon's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

    Quote Originally Posted by warriorfan View Post
    Vegas with Lakers -350 and Heat +300 sounds more legit.

    Heat at +300 isn’t a bad bet at all. Its tough to bet against LA though even with how well the Heat are playing. The Lakers have the clear cut two best players in the series. That is tough to overcome.
    It is, but the Heat have the third, fourth and fifth best players in the series.

    The Lakers SHOULD win in 5 or 6, but it would not surprise me if the Heat win the series.

  10. #10
    Banned warriorfan's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

    Quote Originally Posted by Shogon View Post
    It is, but the Heat have the third, fourth and fifth best players in the series.

    The Lakers SHOULD win in 5 or 6, but it would not surprise me if the Heat win the series.
    That’s fair.

  11. #11
    The Magic are a trash HylianNightmare's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

    Lakers in 5

  12. #12
    NBA lottery pick r0drig0lac's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Calor são 74% favoritos para vencer os Lakers

    Quote Originally Posted by J Shuttlesworth View Post
    You know what's an even more substantial number than 27%?

    73% you ****ing moron

  13. #13
    Playoff Rondo Doranku's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Calor são 74% favoritos para vencer os Lakers

    Before the playoffs started on Aug 24, 538's wonderful predictions had the Heat at a 2% chance to make the finals a <1% to win the finals.

    They mean close to nothing.

  14. #14
    Local High School Star light's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

    Quote Originally Posted by Springsteen View Post


    #hardestroad!?!?
    This is powered by their faulty RAPTOR ratings.

    RAPTOR doesn't actually watch the games, mind you, because it's math. The only things it can see are publicly available statistics.

  15. #15
    Wicked F*ckin Retahded Derka's Avatar
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    Default Re: 538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

    Switch to the ELO forecast which is actually based on team ratings and head-to-head matchups. See what happens. You might have led with that if you any idea how their ratings systems work instead of going for the snazzy clickbait title.

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