https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
For what it's worth they gave Hillary a 71% chance of winning the morning of the 2016 election.
Results 1 to 15 of 67
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10-31-2020, 02:14 PM #1NBA Legend and Hall of Famer
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538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
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10-31-2020, 02:40 PM #2Knicks all da way
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
538 is BS
how often is it right?
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10-31-2020, 02:51 PM #3The Renaissance man
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
Chances are likely this will be a hell election for the Republican party. It could uproot the whole party like it did the Republican party after 2012 beatdown. The party leadership drastically changed between 2012 and 2016. We will see what happens. This might be a drawn out election if lil Donny puts on a massive temper-tantrum on Wednesday morning.
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10-31-2020, 03:11 PM #4Get him a body bag!
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
Oh brother I will be merciless with you.
Originally Posted by bladefd
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10-31-2020, 03:18 PM #581 on the Raptors
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
Killer had a 99%
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10-31-2020, 03:32 PM #6~the original p.tiddy~
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
There is a 110% chance Biden wins the popular vote, by a large margin too.
Can Trump win the electoral college? Yes. The battleground states are closer and there could be hidden "shy Trumpers" that come out like in 2016. But it looks to be much more unlikely than in 2016. Biden is out polling Hillary in those states.
Independent voters are polling toward Biden
Young voters are coming out in masses and lean Biden.
Registered Republicans are more likely to go Dem than Registered Dem vote Trump.
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10-31-2020, 04:37 PM #7High School Starter
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
Originally Posted by ~primetime~
I guarantee Trump wins the electoral college and I have a strong feeling he will also win the popular vote. I give him 100% for elctoral college and 70% chance of winning the popular vote.
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10-31-2020, 04:41 PM #8~the original p.tiddy~
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
There is zero chance of him winning the popular vote. None Originally Posted by Rocket
It's impossible
Lucky for you the electoral college exists... its Trump's only way.
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10-31-2020, 05:22 PM #9NBA Legend and Hall of Famer
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
No one is voting for Biden, look at his rally's compared to Trump
Lefties get ready to hold this L
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10-31-2020, 05:26 PM #10The One
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
Agreed, I mean just look at his rallies in California! No way he loses that state! Originally Posted by Manny98
No one is voting for Biden, look at his rally's compared to Trump
Lefties get ready to hold this L
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10-31-2020, 05:28 PM #11The Bearded Menace
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
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10-31-2020, 05:29 PM #12The Bearded Menace
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
Isn't manny from the uk or something
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10-31-2020, 05:31 PM #13Local High School Star
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
There's a 90% chance that lefties will be scrambling for job interviews from righties, 99.667% of successful business owners, in mid November until year end. Rioting, looting, and ANTIFA is not a job.
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10-31-2020, 05:52 PM #14It is what it is
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
Lol Originally Posted by Rocket
Electoral college, yes
Popular vote, no...he will lose that closer to 10,000,000 than to the almost 3,000,000 by HRC
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10-31-2020, 06:16 PM #15NBA rookie of the year
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Re: 538 is giving Biden a 90% chance of winning the election.
yeah! just look at how bernie killed off joe this year and hillary in 16! Originally Posted by Manny98
No one is voting for Biden, look at his rally's compared to Trump
Lefties get ready to hold this L
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