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Thread: Mock Draft #1

  1. #1
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    Default Mock Draft #1

    pick #7 - 12 teams.

    1. Nick Chubb (Cle - RB)
    2. CeeDee Lamb (Dal - WR)
    3. David Montgomery (Chi - RB)
    4. Courtland Sutton (Den - WR)
    5. Terry McLaurin (Was - WR)
    6. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC - RB)
    7. Dak Prescott (Dal - QB)
    8. Kareem Hunt (Cle - RB)
    9. Cordarrelle Patterson (Atl - RB)
    10. Chase Claypool (Pit - WR)
    11. James Robinson (Jax - RB)
    12. Tyler Higbee (LAR - TE)
    13. Michael Gallup (Dal - WR)
    14. Pittsburgh (Pit - DEF)
    15. Ryan Succop (TB - K)


    just checked out the Yahoo Fantasy Rankings for the first time.

    lots of sleepers this year... but I tend to handcuff my top players as opposed to drafting rookies (Chubb & Hunt, and Lamb & Gallup)

  2. #2
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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    pick #3 - 12 teams.

    1. Austin Ekeler (LAC - RB)
    2. Alvin Kamara (NO - RB)
    3. Saquon Barkley (NYG - RB)
    4. Patrick Mahomes (KC - QB)
    5. Terry McLaurin (Was - WR)
    6. JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC - WR)
    7. Tony Pollard (Dal - RB)
    8. Adam Thielen (Min - WR)
    9. Hunter Renfrow (LV - WR)
    10. James Robinson (Jax - RB)
    11. Russell Gage (TB - WR)
    12. Noah Fant (Sea - TE)
    13. Garrett Wilson (NYJ - WR)
    14. Dallas (Dal - DEF)
    15. Graham Gano (NYG - K)

  3. #3
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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    Ekeler was great last year, but it was the only great year of his career and watching him play its not like his skill level jumps off the screen like most fantasy 1st rounders... no doubt he could be phenomenal again next season but personally I'd feel a little queasy taking him as a first rounder

    The guy had 20 total TDs last year, which is amazing... but those 20 TDs are almost half of his 5 year career grand total (45), and almost twice as much as he managed in his second best year (11). Maybe Ekeler will score ~20 TDs again next season, but I think its a lot more likely that he regresses back to the mean. Either way its not a gamble I would take in the 1st.
    Last edited by Nanners; 07-21-2022 at 09:25 AM.

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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    Quote Originally Posted by Nanners View Post
    Ekeler was great last year, but it was the only great year of his career and watching him play its not like his skill level jumps off the screen like most fantasy 1st rounders... no doubt he could be phenomenal again next season but personally I'd feel a little queasy taking him as a first rounder

    The guy had 20 total TDs last year, which is amazing... but those 20 TDs are almost half of his 5 year career grand total (45), and almost twice as much as he managed in his second best year (11). Maybe Ekeler will score ~20 TDs again next season, but I think its a lot more likely that he regresses back to the mean. Either way its not a gamble I would take in the 1st.
    Austin Ekeler is sneaky good; always makes the first guy miss and he is one of the strongest pound for pound players in the NFL. The only reason why I might stay away from him, the Chargers are looking to lighten his workload. They drafted another runningback for at least the third consecutive season, and their 7th round fullback might steal goal line carries. It's a little weird to say that two rookies will hurt Ekeler's fantasy value, but they are looking to spread the ball more with different backfield personnel. If that fails for several games, Ekeler for the second half of the season will be a good buy low candidate.

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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    Quote Originally Posted by AKA_AAP View Post
    Austin Ekeler is sneaky good; always makes the first guy miss and he is one of the strongest pound for pound players in the NFL. The only reason why I might stay away from him, the Chargers are looking to lighten his workload. They drafted another runningback for at least the third consecutive season, and their 7th round fullback might steal goal line carries. It's a little weird to say that two rookies will hurt Ekeler's fantasy value, but they are looking to spread the ball more with different backfield personnel. If that fails for several games, Ekeler for the second half of the season will be a good buy low candidate.
    Ekeler is a good player for sure, maybe even "sneaky good" (assuming that term means a player who is good without looking like they're good when you watch the game), but I disagree about his ability to make the first guy miss or being one of the strongest pound for pound. When I think about RBs who always make players miss and have exceptional strength I think of players like Taylor, Chubb, Cook, Mixon, McCaffrey, Henry, etc... Taylor had 2x as many YAC as Ekeler last year, and he had 14 runs of 20+ yards vs just 3 for Ekeler... and most of the other players I mentioned here outperformed Ekeler in both of these areas as well. Ekeler ranked 14th in yards after contact among RBs last year (below guys like Devin Singletary, Javonte Williams, Elijah Mitchell, Damien Harris... etc). The main reason Ekeler had such an impressive fantasy point total last season was because he tied for the league lead in TDs - but I see no reason why he is likely to repeat that feat next season... last year Ekeler had 12 rushing TDs, during the other 4 years of his career he has never had more than 3 rushing TDs.


    While Ekeler is undoubtedly talented, he has never been a top tier athlete by NFL standards (thats why he was undrafted), IMHO his success as a NFL player is mostly due to the fact that he rarely makes mistakes, his ability to run routes and catch the ball, and the fact that hes been playing in explosive and pass heavy offenses.

    Anyway I am not saying Ekeler is not a good player, im not saying he wont have another phenomenal year, or that its impossible for him to score 20 tds for a second year in a row... I am just saying that given his history and his situation, I would be uncomfortable taking him in the first round in leagues that dont heavily emphasize receiving RBs.
    Last edited by Nanners; 07-25-2022 at 01:06 AM.

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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    Quote Originally Posted by Nanners View Post
    Ekeler is a good player for sure, maybe even "sneaky good" (assuming that term means a player who is good without looking like they're good when you watch the game), but I disagree about his ability to make the first guy miss or being one of the strongest pound for pound. When I think about RBs who always make players miss and have exceptional strength I think of players like Taylor, Chubb, Cook, Mixon, McCaffrey, Henry, etc... Taylor had 2x as many YAC as Ekeler last year, and he had 14 runs of 20+ yards vs just 3 for Ekeler... and most of the other players I mentioned here outperformed Ekeler in both of these areas as well. Ekeler ranked 14th in yards after contact among RBs last year (below guys like Devin Singletary, Javonte Williams, Elijah Mitchell, Damien Harris... etc). The main reason Ekeler had such an impressive fantasy point total last season was because he tied for the league lead in TDs - but I see no reason why he is likely to repeat that feat next season... last year Ekeler had 12 rushing TDs, during the other 4 years of his career he has never had more than 3 rushing TDs.


    While Ekeler is undoubtedly talented, he has never been a top tier athlete by NFL standards (thats why he was undrafted), IMHO his success as a NFL player is mostly due to the fact that he rarely makes mistakes, his ability to run routes and catch the ball, and the fact that hes been playing in explosive and pass heavy offenses.

    Anyway I am not saying Ekeler is not a good player, im not saying he wont have another phenomenal year, or that its impossible for him to score 20 tds for a second year in a row... I am just saying that given his history and his situation, I would be uncomfortable taking him in the first round in leagues that dont heavily emphasize receiving RBs.
    Austin Ekeler was in a runningback by committee in the 2020 season, and was never the number 1 back until last season. And Anthony Lynn (2017-2020) had a horrible run scheme as well.

    When I say he has the ability to make people miss, I meant out in open space. He won't really punish linebackers often, but that doesn't mean he isn't strong. He's probably really only 5'8 190 lbs and he's averaging 4.6 yards per carry, and his first 4 years he had the worst run blocking and pass blocking offensive line...that alone should tell you something about both his strength and ability to make people miss when he does not have elite speed either.

    He's improved every single year, but I'd also be uncomfortable taking him in the first round. But not for the reasons you stated.

    And another plus, the Chargers won't need to pass as often as last year because they won't be playing catch up much this upcoming season.
    Last edited by AKA_AAP; 07-26-2022 at 07:34 AM.

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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    Hey Dooms, where is Tua going in the early mocks? He seems like a polarizing you either love him or hate him fantasy guy this year.

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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    Quote Originally Posted by Charlie Sheen View Post
    Hey Dooms, where is Tua going in the early mocks? He seems like a polarizing you either love him or hate him fantasy guy this year.

    I have a league where passing TDs are 6 points... so QB will be more of a priority.

    But as far as Tua goes (not my rankings):

    1. Jonathan Taylor, RB, Indianapolis Colts, RB1
    2. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers, RB2
    3. Austin Ekeler, RB, Los Angeles Chargers, RB3
    4. Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans, RB4
    5. Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams, WR1
    6. Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings, WR2
    7. Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings, RB5
    8. Ja'Marr Chase, WR, Cincinnati Bengals, WR3
    9. Najee Harris, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers, RB6
    10. Leonard Fournette, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, RB7
    11. Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs, TE1
    12. Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals, RB8
    13. Davante Adams, WR, Las Vegas Raiders, WR4
    14. Javonte Williams, RB, Denver Broncos, RB9
    15. Stefon Diggs, WR, Buffalo Bills, WR5
    16. D'Andre Swift, RB, Detroit Lions, RB10
    17. CeeDee Lamb, WR, Dallas Cowboys, WR6
    18. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints, RB11
    19. Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers, WR7
    20. Tyreek Hill, WR, Miami Dolphins, WR8
    21. Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers, RB12
    22. Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns, RB13
    23. Mark Andrews, TE, Baltimore Ravens, TE2
    24. David Montgomery, RB, Chicago Bears, RB14
    25. Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers, WR9
    26. Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington Football Team, RB15
    27. Kyle Pitts, TE, Atlanta Falcons, TE3
    28. Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, WR10
    29. Cam Akers, RB, Los Angeles Rams, RB16
    30. Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals, WR11
    31. Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants, RB17
    32. A.J. Brown, WR, Philadelphia Eagles, WR12
    33. Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills, QB1
    34. Jaylen Waddle, WR, Miami Dolphins, WR13
    35. James Conner, RB, Arizona Cardinals, RB18
    36. DJ Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers, WR14
    37. Diontae Johnson, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers, WR15
    38. J.K. Dobbins, RB, Baltimore Ravens, RB19
    39. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs, QB2
    40. Michael Pittman Jr., WR, Indianapolis Colts, WR16
    41. George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers, TE4
    42. DK Metcalf, WR, Seattle Seahawks, WR17
    43. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys, RB20
    44. Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington Football Team, WR18
    45. Chris Godwin, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, WR19
    46. Josh Jacobs, RB, Las Vegas Raiders, RB21
    47. Brandin Cooks, WR, Houston Texans, WR20
    48. Elijah Mitchell, RB, San Francisco 49ers, RB22
    49. Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers, QB3
    50. Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Detroit Lions, WR21
    51. Amari Cooper, WR, Cleveland Browns, WR22
    52. Darren Waller, TE, Las Vegas Raiders, TE5
    53. Breece Hall, RB, New York Jets, RB23
    54. T.J. Hockenson, TE, Detroit Lions, TE6
    55. Travis Etienne Jr., RB, Jacksonville Jaguars, RB24
    56. Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens, QB4
    57. Darnell Mooney, WR, Chicago Bears, WR23
    58. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints, WR24
    59. Jerry Jeudy, WR, Denver Broncos, WR25
    60. Elijah Moore, WR, New York Jets, WR26
    61. AJ Dillon, RB, Green Bay Packers, RB25
    62. Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals, QB5
    63. Damien Harris, RB, New England Patriots, RB26
    64. Courtland Sutton, WR, Denver Broncos, WR27
    65. Dalton Schultz, TE, Dallas Cowboys, TE7
    66. Mike Williams, WR, Los Angeles Chargers, WR28
    67. Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals, QB6
    68. Allen Robinson II, WR, Los Angeles Rams, WR29
    69. Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia Eagles, RB27
    70. Rashod Bateman, WR, Baltimore Ravens, WR30
    71. JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, Kansas City Chiefs, WR31
    72. Chase Edmonds, RB, Miami Dolphins, RB28
    73. Dallas Goedert, TE, Philadelphia Eagles, TE8
    74. Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys, QB7
    75. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Kansas City Chiefs, RB29
    76. Marquise Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals, WR32
    77. Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks, WR33
    78. Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills, RB30
    79. Rashaad Penny, RB, Seattle Seahawks, RB31
    80. Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles, QB8
    81. Kareem Hunt, RB, Cleveland Browns, RB32
    82. Hunter Renfrow, WR, Las Vegas Raiders, WR34
    83. Cordarrelle Patterson, RB, Atlanta Falcons, RB33
    84. Gabriel Davis, WR, Buffalo Bills, WR35
    85. Tony Pollard, RB, Dallas Cowboys, RB34
    86. Drake London, WR, Atlanta Falcons, WR36
    87. Michael Carter, RB, New York Jets, RB35
    88. DeVonta Smith, WR, Philadelphia Eagles, WR37
    89. Melvin Gordon III, RB, Denver Broncos, RB36
    90. Ken Walker III, RB, Seattle Seahawks, RB37
    91. Matthew Stafford, QB, Los Angeles Rams, QB9
    92. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Arizona Cardinals, WR38
    93. Russell Wilson, QB, Denver Broncos, QB10
    94. Zach Ertz, TE, Arizona Cardinals, TE9
    95. Pat Freiermuth, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers, TE10
    96. Brandon Aiyuk, WR, San Francisco 49ers, WR39
    97. Dawson Knox, TE, Buffalo Bills, TE11
    98. Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings, WR40
    99. Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, New England Patriots, RB38
    100. Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, QB11
    101. Chase Claypool, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers, WR41
    102. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers, QB12
    103. Ronald Jones II, RB, Kansas City Chiefs, RB39
    104. Alexander Mattison, RB, Minnesota Vikings, RB40
    105. Rondale Moore, WR, Arizona Cardinals, WR42
    106. Mike Gesicki, TE, Miami Dolphins, TE12
    107. Trey Lance, QB, San Francisco 49ers, QB13
    108. James Cook, RB, Buffalo Bills, RB41
    109. Robert Woods, WR, Tennessee Titans, WR43
    110. Derek Carr, QB, Las Vegas Raiders, QB14
    111. Hunter Henry, TE, New England Patriots, TE13
    112. Cole Kmet, TE, Chicago Bears, TE14
    113. Treylon Burks, WR, Tennessee Titans, WR44
    114. Michael Gallup, WR, Dallas Cowboys, WR45
    115. Albert Okwuegbunam, TE, Denver Broncos, TE15
    116. J.D. McKissic, RB, Washington Football Team, RB42
    117. Russell Gage, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, WR46
    118. Kadarius Toney, WR, New York Giants, WR47
    119. Deshaun Watson, QB, Cleveland Browns, QB15
    120. Allen Lazard, WR, Green Bay Packers, WR48
    121. Raheem Mostert, RB, Miami Dolphins, RB43
    122. James Robinson, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars, RB44
    123. Kirk Cousins, QB, Minnesota Vikings, QB16
    124. Noah Fant, TE, Seattle Seahawks, TE16
    125. Christian Kirk, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars, WR49
    126. Darrell Henderson Jr., RB, Los Angeles Rams, RB45
    127. Jakobi Meyers, WR, New England Patriots, WR50
    128. Garrett Wilson, WR, New York Jets, WR51
    129. Justin Fields, QB, Chicago Bears, QB17
    130. Irv Smith Jr., TE, Minnesota Vikings, TE17
    131. Nyheim Hines, RB, Indianapolis Colts, RB46
    132. Jamaal Williams, RB, Detroit Lions, RB47
    133. Kenneth Gainwell, RB, Philadelphia Eagles, RB48
    134. Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Miami Dolphins, QB18

  9. #9
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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    If Tua is your last option at QB... and I did have a mock draft where he was my last option (I have him higher than Fields and Watson) .... you waited too long to draft a QB.


    The goal is to take Stafford or Carr in the late rounds (round 9 maybe 10) . Both are capable of putting up better numbers than Mahomes or Herbert (rounds 4 or 5).

    Josh Allen is the only tier 1 QB this year in FF.


    Tua should be there in round 14. Tua is QB16 on my draft board, although I agree that he has a very high ceiling, could easily be better than Trey Lance so maybe tied with Lance at #15.
    Last edited by Doomsday Dallas; 07-26-2022 at 07:23 PM.

  10. #10
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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    Doomsday Sleeper Special:

    WR:

    88. DeVonta Smith, WR, Philadelphia Eagles, WR37
    101. Chase Claypool, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers, WR41
    109. Robert Woods, WR, Tennessee Titans, WR43
    114. Michael Gallup, WR, Dallas Cowboys, WR45
    120. Allen Lazard, WR, Green Bay Packers, WR48

    I want to load up on RB early this year... I'm pretty sure I'll be taking 3 RBs in the first 5 rounds, may have to go 4 RB in my first 5 picks.

    Targeting Devonta Smith in round 8 or 9.



    I will not hesitate to take Pitts, Waller, or Kittle in Round 4. Kelce & Andrews in round 3.

    After that... I only got three sleepers to chose from in rounds 9 & 10.

    94. Zach Ertz, TE, Arizona Cardinals, TE9
    95. Pat Freiermuth, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers, TE10
    97. Dawson Knox, TE, Buffalo Bills, TE11

    need to avoid spending a high draft pick on Shultz, Goddert, or Hockinson (rounds 6-7), might want to grab one of these guys in round 8.



    the only legit sleeper I have at Running Back currently:

    83. Cordarrelle Patterson, RB, Atlanta Falcons, RB33

  11. #11
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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    pick #2 - 12 Teams

    A+ Grade from Yahoo.

    1. Dalvin Cook (Min - RB)
    2. Mark Andrews (Bal - TE)
    3. Keenan Allen (LAC - WR)
    4. Courtland Sutton (Den - WR)
    5. Travis Etienne (Jax - RB)
    6. Tony Pollard (Dal - RB)
    7. Devin Singletary (Buf - RB)
    8. Dak Prescott (Dal - QB)
    9. DeVonta Smith (Phi - WR)
    10. Alexander Mattison (Min - RB)
    11. Allen Lazard (GB - WR)
    12. Tyler Allgeier (Atl - RB)
    13. Michael Gallup (Dal - WR)
    14. New England (NE - DEF)
    15. Matt Prater (Ari - K)


    It may be an A+ from Yahoo... but it still needs a little work.

    If you get Cook, you have to keep Mattison on the bench.

    James Robinson is now off my draft board, Travis Etienne is the man now in JAX, we will see what he has but not excited about having a Jaguar on the roster.

    Taking Andrews early hurts my flex spot... but Pollard/Singletary are still solid. If M.Andrews can do anything similar to what he did last year it will be worth having some weakness at flex or WR3.

    Nothing is worse than getting jack-$hit from the TE spot week to week... it's a complete waste of a roster spot.

    Tyler Allgeier could end up becoming ATL's starting RB... so it's a late round gamble.

  12. #12
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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    Quote Originally Posted by Doomsday Dallas View Post
    If Tua is your last option at QB... and I did have a mock draft where he was my last option (I have him higher than Fields and Watson) .... you waited too long to draft a QB.


    The goal is to take Stafford or Carr in the late rounds (round 9 maybe 10) . Both are capable of putting up better numbers than Mahomes or Herbert (rounds 4 or 5).

    Josh Allen is the only tier 1 QB this year in FF.


    Tua should be there in round 14. Tua is QB16 on my draft board, although I agree that he has a very high ceiling, could easily be better than Trey Lance so maybe tied with Lance at #15.
    The bold is my critical flaw every season I have played fantasy football.

    I liked Tua a lot coming into the league. I remember there was a disagreement between Carbine and alternative account about him. Back then I couldn't get behind any notion of Tua being anything less than a top 10 QB in the league. He hasn't showed anything close to that. I don't necessarilly believe in Tua anymore, but I do believe in Tyreek still being able to do his thing.

    Thanks for these write ups, Dooms. Love reading the fantasy stuff you guys post here

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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    Quote Originally Posted by AKA_AAP View Post
    Austin Ekeler was in a runningback by committee in the 2020 season, and was never the number 1 back until last season. And Anthony Lynn (2017-2020) had a horrible run scheme as well.

    When I say he has the ability to make people miss, I meant out in open space. He won't really punish linebackers often, but that doesn't mean he isn't strong. He's probably really only 5'8 190 lbs and he's averaging 4.6 yards per carry, and his first 4 years he had the worst run blocking and pass blocking offensive line...that alone should tell you something about both his strength and ability to make people miss when he does not have elite speed either.

    He's improved every single year, but I'd also be uncomfortable taking him in the first round. But not for the reasons you stated.

    And another plus, the Chargers won't need to pass as often as last year because they won't be playing catch up much this upcoming season.
    fair enough

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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    Got a low draft grade because I took Cook at #5 (10 teams) ... I don't see how Cook is not a top 5 RB.

    took Ekler at #7 in my other league. (12 teams) .5 ppr in this one too.



    I'm trying a 4 horseman of the apocalypse approach this year.

    first 4 picks: D.Cook, Javonte Williams, D.Swift, and James Conner

    I got insurance policies on D.Cook (Mattison) and D.Swift (Jamaal Williams)



    mid & late round picks:

    DK Metcalf
    R. Bateman
    D. Mooney
    and Hunter Renfro... don't sleep on Hunter Renfro.

    got Shultz at TE. Dak and Russel Wilson at QB.




    I feel ok... feel like my squad can be a playoff threat.... only 10 teams though.

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    Default Re: Mock Draft #1

    Quote Originally Posted by Doomsday Dallas View Post
    If Tua is your last option at QB... and I did have a mock draft where he was my last option (I have him higher than Fields and Watson) .... you waited too long to draft a QB.


    The goal is to take Stafford or Carr in the late rounds (round 9 maybe 10) . Both are capable of putting up better numbers than Mahomes or Herbert (rounds 4 or 5).

    Josh Allen is the only tier 1 QB this year in FF.


    Tua should be there in round 14. Tua is QB16 on my draft board, although I agree that he has a very high ceiling, could easily be better than Trey Lance so maybe tied with Lance at #15.
    I hope Tua has a good year. I almost snagged Burrow in the 8th but someone grabbed him 2 slots before my pick.... ended up with Tua in the 13th

    At least my RB/WR situation is extremely strong (on paper)

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