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  1. #1
    XXL Im Still Ballin's Avatar
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    Question Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    Kevin Garnett and Dwight Howard were two of the most dominant NBA big men in the 21st century. Both found initial success on the teams that drafted them, then left for greener pastures. It obviously worked out better for The Big Ticket.

    But who was the better player during the best years on their first teams? Dwight in Orlando, or Kevin in Minnesota? I imagine most people would pick Garnett without a seconds thought, but I'm not so sure. There's a discrepancy regarding team success, supporting casts, and individual performance that I can't shake.

    Team Performance

    Both Minnesota and Orlando were winning teams, but the advantage has to go to The Magic. They won more games, had a better SRS, and had more postseason success - even accounting for opponent strength/conference. Minnesota never beat a team like 2009 Cleveland. 2004 Sacramento and 2009 Boston feel similarly strong.

    Team Performance

    Minnesota 1999-2000:
    - 50-32 W/L (Expected W/L = 48-34 [10th out of 29])
    - 2.67 SRS (9th out of 29)
    - Terrell Brandon missed 11 games

    Minnesota 2000-2001:
    - 47-35 W/L (Expected W/L = 45-37 [15th out of 29])
    - 1.81 SRS (12th out of 29)

    Minnesota 2001-2002:
    - 50-32 W/L (Expected W/L = 51-31 [6th out of 29])
    - 3.58 SRS (6th out of 29)
    - Terrell Brandon retired - missed 50 games

    Minnesota 2002-2003:
    - 51-32 W/L (Expected W/L = 47-35 [12th out of 29])
    - 2.46 SRS (10th out of 29)
    - Wally missed 30 games

    Minnesota 2003-2004:
    - 58-24 W/L (Expected W/L = 57-25 [4th out of 29])
    - 5.86 SRS (2nd out of 29)
    - Wally missed 54 games

    Orlando 2007-2008:
    - 52-30 W/L (Expected W/L = 56-26 [6th out of 30])
    - 4.79 SRS (9th out of 30)
    - Jameer missed 13 games

    Orlando 2008-2009:
    - 59-23 W/L (Expected W/L = 59-23 [4th out of 30])
    - 6.48 SRS (4th out of 30)
    - Jameer missed 40 games

    Orlando 2009-2010:
    - 59-23 W/L (Expected W/L = 61-21 [1st out of 30])
    - 7.12 SRS (1st out of 30)
    - Jameer missed 17 games
    - Rashard missed 10 games

    Orlando 2010-2011:
    - 52-30 W/L (Expected W/L = 56-26 [5th out of 30])
    - 4.92 SRS (5th out of 30)
    - Rashard and Carter traded for Hedo and Arenas

    Supporting Casts

    Most would explain this by pointing to the supporting casts. I look at the names that each player had to work with. And you know what? I'm not seeing a definitive advantage for Dwight. Looks like a wash to me.

    All-Star selections aren't the best measure of supporting casts, but both had two teammates make the team. Three if you include early seasons, but they were both too young for it to matter here.

    Here's a quick rundown of teammates:

    Notable Supporting Cast

    Dwight:
    - Jameer Nelson
    - Hedo Turkoglu
    - Rashard Lewis
    - Vince Carter
    - Gilbert Arenas
    - JJ Reddick

    Kevin:
    - Stephon Marbury
    - Terrell Brandon
    - Chauncey Billups
    - Wally Szczerbiak
    - Sam Cassell
    - Latrell Sprewell
    - Fred Hoiberg

    Is there really enough of a difference in support to explain the team performance results? Remember: SRS accounts for strength of schedule and opponent quality. Orlando was quite clearly the superior team over Kevin and Dwight's best years.

    System and Coaching

    If the explanation isn't supporting casts, then it's usually coaching and system. But once again, I don't feel strongly about this. Flip Saunders and Stan Van Gundy were both capable offensive-minded coaches. Their game plans were similar and yet different at the same time.

    Both teams were constructed with the idea of surrounding a dominant defender with offensively-slanted talent. That's what's similar. What was different was the approach to offense. Orlando surrounded a dominant paint scorer with three-point shooters. Minnesota used the mid-range to open up shots in the paint and beyond the arc.

    Both systems were built around their star big men and yet one gets more credit for that than the other. It's usually the on-off net rating that people usually point to, but we know how lineups can influence it. Not to mention roster construction as well.

    I think there are limitations when building around Garnett. So his play-by-play data looked herculean, but I'm not sure it would've held with a stronger bench. Mookie Blaylock and Nate McMillan looked like top 10 players in the '90s according to on-off net rating.

    Dwight was so integral to that Orlando team. Take him out and neither the defense nor the offense functioned. The three-point shooting only worked because they had the best paint scorer in the league. Not to mention they could only play all those offensive-slanted players because Dwight protected them defensively.

    Orlando kept trucking along, regardless of who was on the team or was healthy and playing. Jameer went down halfway through the '08-'09 season and The Magic didn't miss a beat. Went 27-12 and won three playoff series. Hedo left the team and they won just as many games in '09-'10, had a better SRS, and W/L% including the postseason. Rashard and Vince got traded in '10-'11 and the team's win pace very slightly improved.

    All of these supposed "core" pieces and yet they continued to perform to a high degree without them. Hell, Dwight had the team winning at a 50-win pace during the lockout-shortened '11-'12 season. No Rashard, regressed Jameer, Ryan Anderson, and an old Hedo who was basically finished as a player.

    Individual Performance


    Both Dwight and Kevin played great individually and won a lot of accolades and awards. Very different players though. Garnett was a protomodern big that liked to pass and shoot from the elbows. Howard was a classic hyper-athletic bruiser who was at his best establishing deep position down low.

    One was averse to physicality; the other couldn't shoot a lick.

    Here's a look at their numbers from those aforementioned seasons:

    *HEAVES REMOVED*

    Kevin Garnet '00-'04 Regular Season:

    - 407 games
    - 22.7 ppg, 12.5 rpg, 5.2 apg, 1.4 spg, 1.7 bpg, 2.9 topg
    - 49.0% FG, 77.4% FT, 54.3% TS, 27.3% usage rate

    Kevin Garnett '00-'04 Playoffs:

    - 35 games
    - 23.7 ppg, 14.4 rpg, 5.4 apg, 1.4 spg, 1.9 bpg, 3.5 topg
    - 46.0% FG, 75.9% FT, 51.85% TS, 28.7% usage rate

    Dwight Howard '08-'11 Regular Season:

    - 321 games
    - 20.6 ppg, 13.8 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.0 spg, 2.6 bpg, 3.3 topg
    - 59.5% FG, 59.3% FT, 61.75% TS, 25.4% usage rate

    Dwight Howard '08-'11 Playoffs:

    - 53 games
    - 20.2 ppg, 14.3 rpg, 1.4 apg, 0.8 spg, 2.9 bpg, 3.5 topg
    - 60.6% FG, 59.6% FT, 62.6% TS, 24.2% usage rate

    It's hard to compare them because they're such different players. Garnett's strengths are his mobility, shooting, and passing. Howard's strengths are his physicality, finishing, and foul pressure. Dominant defenders in slightly different ways; integral offensive pieces in completely unique avenues.

    And I do think Dwight's foul pressure should be emphasized. He drew the most fouls in NBA history I believe. Even relative to his usage/field goal attempts and free throws. An extreme outlier in this regard. He was getting fouled because he was either:

    - Too close to the hoop with the ball
    - Making a move to the hoop (post seals, duck-ins, alley-oops, offensive rebounds)
    - Hack-a-Dwight strategy

    I wonder about the value of this foul pressure outside of going to the line himself. He put specific players in foul trouble so that they would play fewer minutes and not play as hard on both ends. He would get his team into the bonus, influencing how the opponent would play on defense and even offense. I'm sure this impact radiated into all lineups, even ones without him.

  2. #2
    XXL Im Still Ballin's Avatar
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?




    Well, that's about it. I think anyone who outright dismisses this comparison is not looking at things clearly. It's extremely close in my opinion. It's always going to be hard to compare individual players in a team game. Especially when they're different types of players.

    My argument for both players would be:

    Garnett: Didn't have pieces that fit as well; bench was weaker.
    Howard: Easier to build a high-level team around; got more out of his teammates.

  3. #3
    High School Starter lxlHoTsAuSelxl's Avatar
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    Only read the title, I'll probably choose Dwight.

  4. #4
    The Magic are a trash HylianNightmare's Avatar
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    Dwight

  5. #5
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    KG. Slightly

    Given Dwight’s annoying antics after 2014 or so people sometimes forget just how good he was at his peak.

  6. #6
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    Quote Originally Posted by ShawkFactory View Post
    KG. Slightly

    Given Dwight’s annoying antics after 2014 or so people sometimes forget just how good he was at his peak.
    I can respect this answer.


  7. #7
    Good college starter theman93's Avatar
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    KG. Simply because of his mentality. Dwight also had this horrible tendency to come down with the ball off an offensive rebound instead of keeping his arms up. That crap drove me absolutely insane.

  8. #8
    NBA Legend and Hall of Famer Xiao Yao You's Avatar
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    KG. He was too unselfish. Otherwise had it all

  9. #9
    Learning to shoot layups
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    I think it's close. For me KG is the better player, but Howard had a greater impact on his team those years.

  10. #10
    XXL Im Still Ballin's Avatar
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    Very small sample size because both guys were absolute iron men:

    2008-2012 Orlando W/L Without Dwight:

    2009: 2-1
    2011: 1-3
    2012: 4-8

    Total: 7-12

    2000-2004 Minnesota W/L Without KG:

    2000: 0-1
    2001: 0-1
    2002: 1-0

    Total: 1-2

  11. #11
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    KG no contest.

  12. #12
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    Quote Originally Posted by theman93 View Post
    KG. Simply because of his mentality. Dwight also had this horrible tendency to come down with the ball off an offensive rebound instead of keeping his arms up. That crap drove me absolutely insane.
    Never noticed that before but I see what you mean. That might be a product of being too athletic early on and not ever having to worry about that.

    Guys like Duncan and Bird always played above their head in traffic. Pretty small thing that isn’t normally discussed cuz PPG but it makes a huge difference.

  13. #13
    XXXL Dr. Lemon's Avatar
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?


  14. #14
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    Quote Originally Posted by Dr. Lemon View Post
    Is that Frodo Baggins?

  15. #15
    Good college starter theman93's Avatar
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    Default Re: Orlando Dwight Howard vs. Minnesota Kevin Garnett — who was better?

    Quote Originally Posted by ShawkFactory View Post
    Never noticed that before but I see what you mean. That might be a product of being too athletic early on and not ever having to worry about that.

    Guys like Duncan and Bird always played above their head in traffic. Pretty small thing that isn’t normally discussed cuz PPG but it makes a huge difference.
    It’s a small adjustment that makes a huge difference. And it’s something you’re taught very early on too. Even my coach in high school made us run drills where we kept our arms up off a rebound and put the ball back up lol. Smaller players would always swipe the ball or foul him (and he wasn’t a good free throw shooter) and for whatever reason he just never would keep his arms up. Guys like Pau Gasol never brought the ball down and as a Magic fan who watched Dwight it made me jealous.
    Last edited by theman93; 06-04-2023 at 02:19 PM.

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