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11-02-2024, 11:13 PM
#151
Lol
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
Originally Posted by SouBeachTalents
My biggest concern if I'm the Dems is the last 2 elections the polls completely underestimated Trump's support, according to the polls he was supposed to lose in 2016 and lose pretty convincingly in 2020
If that same pattern repeats itself, she can't win.
If the Democrats were concerned they wouldn't be campaigning the way they have been. Someone told me Hillary is advising the campaign so makes sense
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11-02-2024, 11:30 PM
#152
NBA Legend and Hall of Famer
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
Kamala will appear on SNL tonight.
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11-03-2024, 07:24 AM
#153
It is what it is
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
Originally Posted by 1987_Lakers
Seems like the establishment is putting out fake polls so they can encourage people to vote for Kamala.
I don't necessarily disagree with you on that.
Look, data nerds have been explaining that the polls started shifting towards Trump heavily starting about a month ago due to a bunch of low quality lean GOP polls but underneath that, there was a real shift towards Trump, not a huge shift but a noticeable shift from when Harris had a sizable lead (relatively speaking) after she clowned Trump in their only debate
A very reputable Iowa pollster that had Trump up 18 (!) points when Biden was the nominee has Harris up now 3. I seriously doubt she takes Iowa BUT the demographics are what's important to look at inside the data, Whose moving away from Trump to make Harris relatively competitive? Data from those who already voted are saying it's the female vote in general.
I honestly don't know whose gonna win BUT I said this a while back, if women turn out, Trump is in trouble and they could easily override his over performance he's had in 2016 and 2020. There are simply more women than men voters, she's up mid double digits with the chick vote, the math isn't hard. Polls probably never took into account that women would overperform by these margins, I'm seeing women out voting men 55%-45% in the early vote, men would have to massively out vote women on Election Day, I would be very uneasy if my campaign depended on a whole lot of procrastinating bros finally coming out to vote to override the female vote
Last edited by TheMan; 11-03-2024 at 07:39 AM.
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11-03-2024, 07:27 AM
#154
It is what it is
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
Originally Posted by 1987_Lakers
Kamala will appear on SNL tonight.
I bet you it will be cringe. She really is terrible I can't stand either...she's the cackling hyena and he's the babbling buffoon, WOAT era for presidential candidates.
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11-03-2024, 08:31 AM
#155
2nd Greatest Player
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
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11-03-2024, 10:31 AM
#156
Life goes on.
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
Originally Posted by TheMan
I bet you it will be cringe. She really is terrible I can't stand either...she's the cackling hyena and he's the babbling buffoon, WOAT era for presidential candidates.
I have already said this, but brother to brother, I really disagree with your pov that trump is worse. It’s pretty nuts that she is getting press on snl before election, but that’s how it be now.
The way i see it is if trump wins, crazy stuff will happen and people can believe kamala would have been better. If kamala wins, i believe by the end of 4 years, nobody will think trump could have been worse. Get ready either way, but especially for her.
That is my final election insight. Haha
-Smak
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11-03-2024, 11:56 AM
#157
NBA Legend and Hall of Famer
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
Originally Posted by ILLsmak
I have already said this, but brother to brother, I really disagree with your pov that trump is worse. It’s pretty nuts that she is getting press on snl before election, but that’s how it be now.
The way i see it is if trump wins, crazy stuff will happen and people can believe kamala would have been better. If kamala wins, i believe by the end of 4 years, nobody will think trump could have been worse. Get ready either way, but especially for her.
That is my final election insight. Haha
-Smak
TheMan is a little salty because trump used to talk a lot of shit about building the wall. He means well though.
This election is pretty much a freakshow, and we have front row seats. So it's best to just watch it like a comedy movie.
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11-03-2024, 12:53 PM
#158
NBA Legend
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
Originally Posted by 1987_Lakers
Kamala will appear on SNL tonight.
Which was illegal according to the FCC.
'A Federal Communications Commission (FCC) commissioner has claimed that Vice President Harris’s recent appearance on “Saturday Night Live” violates the “equal time” rule.
“This is a clear and blatant effort to evade the FCC’s Equal Time rule,” Commissioner Brendan Carr posted on the social platform X Saturday in response to a post from The Associated Press about Harris being on the show that night.
The purpose of the rule is to avoid exactly this type of biased and partisan conduct – a licensed broadcaster using the public airwaves to exert its influence for one candidate on the eve of an election. Unless the broadcaster offered Equal Time to other qualifying campaigns,” Carr, a Trump appointee, continued.
https://www.wkrn.com/news/national/f...ual-time-rule/
Article from October 1st.
Will Donald Trump or Kamala Harris Cameo on ‘SNL’?
Don't count on it, says executive producer Lorne Michaels. At least pre-election, he explains why he'll be sticking with his stable of impressionists, including Maya Rudolph and James Austin Johnson.
In a recent interview ahead of the show’s 50th season, SNL creator and long-running maestro Lorne Michaels revealed that he hadn’t reached out to the real-life candidates, and he didn’t intend to before the 2024 election. “You can’t bring the actual people who are running on because of election laws and the equal time provisions,” he told The Hollywood Reporter, and then clarified: “You can’t have the main candidates without having all the candidates, and there are lots of minor candidates that are only on the ballot in, like, three states and that becomes really complicated
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/tv...os-1236018279/
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11-03-2024, 01:43 PM
#159
NBA Legend and Hall of Famer
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
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11-03-2024, 03:27 PM
#160
NBA Superstar
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
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11-03-2024, 04:21 PM
#161
NBA Legend
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
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11-03-2024, 04:57 PM
#162
NBA Superstar
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
Originally Posted by Hey Yo
Wrong alt ^^^^
Sorry, I'm not a big enough nerd to need alts like you guys.
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11-03-2024, 06:41 PM
#163
NBA Superstar
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
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11-03-2024, 07:44 PM
#164
The Renaissance man
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
Originally Posted by RRR3
Not my fault you don't know how to interpret stuff, this is really basic dawg. And if Harris wins, I'm pretty sure you're going to claim these polls favoring Trump were put out by the Dems to inspire people to vote for Harris, which will make this whole conservation very ironic.
MAGA will make excuses and call conspiracy no matter how they lose. It's a foregone conclusion.
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11-03-2024, 08:06 PM
#165
3-time NBA All-Star
Re: 2024 US Elections thread
Originally Posted by bladefd
MAGA will make excuses and call conspiracy no matter how they lose. It's a foregone conclusion.
Speaking of conspiracies, do you still think that Donald Trump's blood was ketchup?
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