Originally Posted by bladefd
BTW - the salary ceiling is expected to go up $5-6 mill next summer, right? That will help quite a bit next summer. My hope is that we can get a Pau-type deal before trade deadline to build around. The $5-6 mill rise will help bring in another decent role-player next summer. We will be back to contention by end of next summer. Just my hope
The guys that follow that stuff close are predicting moderate growth next season, 5 million might be pushing it maybe closer to 3
They say the big thing to watch will be league sponsors, there could be a rush to get in the door or renegotiate contracts before the new TV deal is negotiated which would or could ramp things up...
the big jump will come the following summers where it's expected to rise upwards of 10 million or higher when the new TV deals come online.. I read an article in Forbes where using standard growth numbers from the normal NBA indicators the league could see a cap in the range of 80 million within 2- 3 years if the TV deal is as big as they are assuming it will be
This is why Lebron signed a two year deal, his max this summer is quite a bit different than the max he'll see in two years with a higher cap and didn't want to be locked into a contract that will be undervalued in a couple years.
It's also why teams are willingly overpaying now on those 4 year deals for players they think will stick with the team. What's overpaying this year and next summer will be underpaying the following two years...
The Lakers themselves with Kobe coming off the books and all those other one and two year contracts could be looking at crazy cap room in two seasons where teams that are locking in guys on these overpaid 4 year deals won't be able to take full advantage of the new numbers.
Obviously when you have a team like the Lakers that are in the first year of a ground up rebuild they'll approach it differently than a team like the Heat or Rockets that is trying to just add pieces or the Knicks which is just scrambling to keep their head above water.
Lakers plan seems to be you want to try and lock in on players that you think you want long term, but keep everybody else on a short leash so you're not tied up financially with bad contracts when the flood gates open.
I like our kids this year, I like they'll have the minutes to play/develop and the fact that if they don't look like a guy you want we won't be stuck with them for 4 years... Other than missing on Melo they are in a good spot... promising young players and a crap load of financial flexibility the next two summers
next year you could be looking at roughly 20- 25 million in cap space (give or take) to play with and holy cow the following summer you could be looking at 60-70 million or so in cap room.. I don't expect either to be actually that high, that's assuming none of the kids pan out but still you can see the Lakers have maneuvered themselves in a very positive position at a time when the CBA has become so restrictive.