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Old 06-11-2015, 07:57 AM   #2266
RoundMoundOfReb
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

While I don't agree with Rocketswin2013 about Bird, Bird being a bad playoff performer is something quite a few people say.
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Old 06-12-2015, 09:13 AM   #2267
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

DMAVS41
Quote:
Actually...the odds of the Heat winning down 5 with 30 seconds left is less than 1 percent.


this guy just doesnt think when he talks. he also exaggerates everything.
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Old 06-12-2015, 09:23 AM   #2268
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

Quote:
Originally Posted by nathanjizzle
DMAVS41



this guy just doesnt think when he talks. he also exaggerates everything.
actually he's right
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Old 06-12-2015, 09:41 AM   #2269
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

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actually he's right

let me help you comprehend. down 5 with 30 seconds left. out of 100 games, only 1 game can be won?
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Old 06-12-2015, 09:44 AM   #2270
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

Quote:
Originally Posted by nathanjizzle
let me help you comprehend. down 5 with 30 seconds left. out of 100 games, only 1 game can be won?

In the NBA FINALS...against a historically great team like the Spurs.

Yeah its a 1% or less
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Old 06-12-2015, 09:47 AM   #2271
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

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Originally Posted by BlakFrankWhite
In the NBA FINALS...against a historically great team like the Spurs.

Yeah its a 1% or less

no dude.
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Old 06-12-2015, 09:49 AM   #2272
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

Quote:
Originally Posted by nathanjizzle
let me help you comprehend. down 5 with 30 seconds left. out of 100 games, only 1 game can be won?
ah, actually you're right, it's actually 1.4%
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Old 06-12-2015, 09:54 AM   #2273
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

Quote:
Originally Posted by nathanjizzle
DMAVS41



this guy just doesnt think when he talks. he also exaggerates everything.

they put up the stats for playoff games like that and it was like 0-132 or something you clown.

in the entirety of the data....it's 1850-27....LOL

Last edited by DMAVS41 : 06-12-2015 at 10:00 AM.
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Old 06-12-2015, 10:14 AM   #2274
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

Quote:
Originally Posted by DMAVS41
they put up the stats for playoff games like that and it was like 0-132 or something you clown.

in the entirety of the data....it's 1850-27....LOL

please reference your source and i will deem myself the idiot.
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Old 06-12-2015, 10:17 AM   #2275
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

Quote:
Originally Posted by nathanjizzle
please reference your source and i will deem myself the idiot.

Found it on reddit...

The peerless historians at ESPN Stats & Information inform us that, over the previous 15 seasons -- including the playoffs -- teams that held five-point leads with between 20 and 30 seconds left on the clock went a tidy 1,850-27.
That's a win probability, dating back basically for as long as Duncan has been in the league, of 98.6 percent.


http://www.reddit.com/r/nba/comments...g_game_6_when/

Also, I'm pretty sure that it had never happened in a playoff or finals game before. I remember a stat about how it was 0-130 or something like that before the game.

Found another one.

http://www.businessinsider.com/one-c...me-ever-2013-6


This shit was all over everything back then. How do you not remember this?

Last edited by DMAVS41 : 06-12-2015 at 10:19 AM.
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Old 06-12-2015, 10:28 AM   #2276
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

Quote:
Originally Posted by DMAVS41
teams that held five-point leads with between 20 and 30 seconds left on the clock went a tidy 1,850-27.
[/b]


just as i suspected. That stat is really "under 30 seconds" not "with 30 seconds" that 1.4 percent applies to games between 20-30 seconds left. any reasonable basketball fan knows that its more probable than 1 percent to win a game down 5 with 30 seconds left.
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Old 06-12-2015, 10:31 AM   #2277
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

Quote:
Originally Posted by nathanjizzle
just as i suspected. That stat is really "under 30 seconds" not "with 30 seconds" that 1.4 percent applies to games between 20-30 seconds left. any reasonable basketball fan knows that its more probable than 1 percent to win a game down 5 with 30 seconds left.

Are you serious?

Take the L

It had never happened in a playoff game before iirc. If it was so probable....it would happen more often.

And you aren't even factoring in playing elite competition like the Spurs who are bound to out perform the average team in these situations by a considerable margin.

If you played that situation over 100 times...or a million times.

The Heat would win around 1% of the time give or take.

The fact that you posted this here just shows how ignorant you are.

Also, the other model does it by second...and they came up with:

But after a Spurs run, which culminated with a LeBron James turnover with 28 seconds remaining, the Heat trailed by five and had only a 1.5% chance of winning the game. In other words, with 28 seconds left, the Spurs had a 98.5% chance of winning the championship.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/one-c...#ixzz3cr2aeLih

Also, Lebron didn't make the 3 until 20.1 seconds left...so technically you could say they were down 5 with 21 seconds left.

Arguing this is ****ing stupid. It's in the realm of 1% give or take....just take the L like a man.

Last edited by DMAVS41 : 06-12-2015 at 10:39 AM.
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Old 06-12-2015, 11:57 AM   #2278
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

Quote:
Originally Posted by DMAVS41
Are you serious?

Take the L

It had never happened in a playoff game before iirc. If it was so probable....it would happen more often.

And you aren't even factoring in playing elite competition like the Spurs who are bound to out perform the average team in these situations by a considerable margin.

If you played that situation over 100 times...or a million times.

The Heat would win around 1% of the time give or take.

The fact that you posted this here just shows how ignorant you are.

Also, the other model does it by second...and they came up with:

But after a Spurs run, which culminated with a LeBron James turnover with 28 seconds remaining, the Heat trailed by five and had only a 1.5% chance of winning the game. In other words, with 28 seconds left, the Spurs had a 98.5% chance of winning the championship.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/one-c...#ixzz3cr2aeLih

Also, Lebron didn't make the 3 until 20.1 seconds left...so technically you could say they were down 5 with 21 seconds left.

Arguing this is ****ing stupid. It's in the realm of 1% give or take....just take the L like a man.

wow just wow. no way you can be this oblivious to your own stupidity.
per your own stats you provided to justify your "under 1 percent" statement for 30 seconds left in a game. "teams that held five-point leads with between 20 and 30 seconds left on the clock went a tidy 1,850-27." which is 1.45 percent. THIS IS INCLUDING GAMES 29 SECONDS DOWN TO 20 SECONDS. 20 SECONDS! NOT 30 SECONDS. AND YOURE TELLING ME TO TAKE AN L??? DELUSIONAL IDIOT.

you dont know shit about basketball and your own stats even proved it. your judgement is completely off and exaggerated.

Making the argument that its the finals and the spurs are an elite team so they couldnt give up such a lead is just stupid, since any finals teams are just as elite in any situational moments whether defensively or offensively.

take the L idiot.

Last edited by nathanjizzle : 06-12-2015 at 12:07 PM.
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Old 06-12-2015, 12:09 PM   #2279
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

Every single post that includes a * as part of some half-baked brain fart masquerading as a legit argument.
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Old 06-12-2015, 12:09 PM   #2280
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Default Re: Post the dumbest things you've heard said on InsideHoops

Quote:
Originally Posted by nathanjizzle
wow just wow. no way you can be this oblivious to your own stupidity.
per your own stats you provided to justify your "under 1 percent" statement for 30 seconds left in a game. "teams that held five-point leads with between 20 and 30 seconds left on the clock went a tidy 1,850-27." which is 1.45 percent. THIS IS INCLUDING GAMES 29 SECONDS DOWN TO 20 SECONDS. 20 SECONDS! NOT 30 SECONDS. AND YOURE TELLING ME TO TAKE AN L??? DELUSIONAL IDIOT.

you dont know shit about basketball and your own stats even proved it. your judgement is completely off and exaggerated.

Making the argument that its the finals and the spurs are an elite team so they couldnt give up such a lead is just stupid, since any finals teams are just as elite in any situational moments whether defensively or offensively.

take the L idiot.

What?

The Heat were down 5 with 21 seconds left you ****ing clown.

At the 28 second mark they had a 1.5% chance based on one model.

And that is in all games.

It's roughly a 1% shot...end of story.

Take the ****ing L you moron
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