The reason I asked the question, was I was wondering if you doubted the polls or thought a strong break towards Romney was going to occur among ALL undecided voters.
There's no doubt that if the economy was doing better Obama would be up by more than he is. But the voters already know this and I think they have factored this into their thinking. It's not like when Clinton got elected because the economy soured late in Bush I's term.
The way I see it why he is leading is
Romney is not a strong candidate and too awkward to be a skilled politician. You simply don't find many rabid Romney fans as you would for almost any other political nominee.
Romney should have a strong advantage on the economy, but Obama's negative attacks have really done their job. Defined Romney as the candidate of the rich AND cast a lot of doubt on his business career.
The other thing going on is a good number of people realize the 2008-2009 recession was not just an ordinary event. Hell if you're under 70 years old, it's a truly once in a lifetime event. I think some people have adjusted to the fact our economy is growing, but weakly. And we going to get 100,000 or so new jobs every month. So we are better off than we were 4 years ago when we were heading downhill fast. But we are not near back where we were. So we're plodding along, but, at least, we're going in the right direction. AND I think a lot of people don't think Romney's going to change that. Most of who do weren't voting for Obama anyway.
In short, people have already accounted for the lousy economy and they know it started before Obama's term. Stock market people call this "being priced in" where the current stock price is already adjusted for some future event.
and here you make a key point
I read on Politico that no President since WW2
the economic crisis of 2008-2009 was unmatched since BEFORE WW II. How many voters were actually alive during The Depression?
and one other thing pollsters are finding out that there are less undecided voters this early than in previous years.
I don't know if that the choices were that obvious or if it's the effect of the internet where people get more information earlier. This election will be more about getting out the vote then convincing the middle, because there's so few people left to convince.