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Old 11-22-2013, 12:32 PM   #91
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

Quote:
Originally Posted by -p.tiddy-
The spread is created by the gamblers..."Vegas" just adjusts the spread to try to get 50/50 split of the money on both sides of the bet.

Essentially, the "spread" is just what the general public thinks, and is created by the gamblers



I was correct when I said the exact same thing about the Philly game, and I will be correct here as well...but of course you just think it is me being a "homer" and not a case of me just knowing both teams very well.

would you like to avy bet on this game Niko?
Sure. BTW, Why are you explaining to me what the spread is? You are the one saying it's wrong because Cowboys will win. The spread is moving too so it's actually more money on the Giants, not less which means if Vegas did what you wanted, it would be even a lager movement.

One week, nothing offensive. If we both lose the division and Philly wins I'll be ashamed.
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Old 11-22-2013, 12:42 PM   #92
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

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Originally Posted by niko
Sure. BTW, Why are you explaining to me what the spread is? You are the one saying it's wrong because Cowboys will win. The spread is moving too so it's actually more money on the Giants, not less which means if Vegas did what you wanted, it would be even a lager movement.

One week, nothing offensive. If we both lose the division and Philly wins I'll be ashamed.


It's not more money on the Giants. The moneyline started at +127 for the Cowboys and that has been bet down to +117

Dallas was also a 2.5 to 3 point underdog on monday and now they're only 1....so the public has been betting the Cowboys.
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Old 11-22-2013, 01:03 PM   #93
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

Quote:
Originally Posted by niko
Sure. BTW, Why are you explaining to me what the spread is? You are the one saying it's wrong because Cowboys will win. The spread is moving too so it's actually more money on the Giants, not less which means if Vegas did what you wanted, it would be even a lager movement.

One week, nothing offensive. If we both lose the division and Philly wins I'll be ashamed.
huh?

I am saying "vegas" (aka the general public) is wrong on this...and they are fully capable of being wrong and exploited as well by people who are more familiar with the teams/athletes playing.

ever heard of Frank Rosenthal? DeNiro's character in the movie Casino was based around him...he was an actual person who gained fame for being able to exploit spreads

I voice in here on the Cowboys/NFCE not because I am a "homer" but because that is who I am most familiar with. This is a unique situation where you have a very misleading 4-game win streak which is skewing the public's perception of the Giants, and a primetime blow out by the Saints at home which is also skewing things.


and I've only done it twice now...it's not like EVERY game I am in here blabbing "OMG COWBOYS WILL WIN OMGZ ROMO IS AWESOME!!!"

Last edited by -p.tiddy- : 11-22-2013 at 01:05 PM.
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Old 11-22-2013, 01:50 PM   #94
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

Quote:
Originally Posted by -p.tiddy-
huh?

I am saying "vegas" (aka the general public) is wrong on this...and they are fully capable of being wrong and exploited as well by people who are more familiar with the teams/athletes playing.

ever heard of Frank Rosenthal? DeNiro's character in the movie Casino was based around him...he was an actual person who gained fame for being able to exploit spreads

I voice in here on the Cowboys/NFCE not because I am a "homer" but because that is who I am most familiar with. This is a unique situation where you have a very misleading 4-game win streak which is skewing the public's perception of the Giants, and a primetime blow out by the Saints at home which is also skewing things.


and I've only done it twice now...it's not like EVERY game I am in here blabbing "OMG COWBOYS WILL WIN OMGZ ROMO IS AWESOME!!!"
No, that would be the purpose of the general football thread.

THE BET IS ON. Our avi's are tiny and we won't be able to see them but in our minds we will know who won.
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Old 11-24-2013, 07:41 PM   #95
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

Cha ching.
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Old 11-25-2013, 12:58 PM   #96
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

Quote:
Originally Posted by -p.tiddy-
Dallas is actually a 2.5 underdog to the Giants and that spread is VERY skewed

it is overblown because NY has won 4 straight and Dallas go blown out to the Saints...BUT IT'S THE FCKIN SAINTS...Brees does that

let's look at the QBs the Giants have faced on their current win streak:

1. Vikings - Josh Freeman, who had the worst game I have ever witnessed from a QB

2. Eagles - Matt Barkley, yeah...Matt fckin Barkley

3. Raiders - Terrelle Pryor, who has now been benched

4. Packers - Scott Tolzien, who was on the practice squad 2 weeks ago


it's another mirage...Cowboys did just lose Sean Lee, but they should still be favorites here...you should advantage of this spread, it is pretty badly skewed




game was closer than I thought but I was correct again...

will chime in the next time a NFCE spread is over blown
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Old 12-02-2013, 07:02 PM   #97
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

Chance for a perfect week tonight.
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Old 12-03-2013, 01:45 PM   #98
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

Perfect week.

Really like the Texans -148....they're a lot better than the record indicates.

Also Chiefs -185 vs. the Redskins looks nice.
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Old 12-03-2013, 02:56 PM   #99
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

if I had to pick one game to bet on this week I would take Detroit +3 points

Philly isn't even that great at home, the Lions have a decent secondary, and IMO Foles is being a little over hyped which is inflating the spread. Calvin is gonna be Calvin in this game, and it has been shown that McCoy can be stopped which Suh and Fairley should do.

Lions plus a free FG?...yeah I'll take that
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Old 12-26-2013, 12:45 PM   #100
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

42.5 percent gain so far. That's a damn good year.

Hopefully I can close the year out strong.
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Old 01-05-2014, 08:50 PM   #101
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

Perfect week.
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Old 01-05-2014, 09:13 PM   #102
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

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Perfect week.

And yet you owe for a FF debt you never paid. Scumbag
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Old 01-14-2014, 01:35 PM   #103
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

Anytime the Seahawks get -200 or under at home is good value. They're at -175 now.

Pats +195 is insane value, IMO.
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Old 01-24-2014, 02:33 PM   #104
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

Seahawks are +220 on one of the online books.

That's insane value. Never seen anything like it before.
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Old 01-24-2014, 04:35 PM   #105
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Default Re: Weekly Gambling Spreads.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carbine
Seahawks are +220 on one of the online books.

That's insane value. Never seen anything like it before.

Where
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