I say right around what you said for rookie year:
14-17pts, 7-10reb, a couple assists, and a couple blocks
As for his best year, I could see something like:
22-26pts, 13-15reb, 3-5ast, and over 3blocks
His career average would be around:
20-24pts, 12-14reb, 2-4asts, and somewhere under or around 3blocks
I don't think he will win ROY, I do think he will play until his late 30's, so I think even if Yao gets the votes, he will be an automatic backup All-Star center, so maybe 12 to 15 All-Star games depending on his 2nd and 3rd years and how long Okur is better, and if Amare is considered a center. It might take him a few years to break into the game, but he will be automatic for years.
It is hard to predict the All-NBA teams, because of Yao, Amare, Howard, Bosh, and maybe Curry all being great potential centers. I would say up around 10 1st and 2nd teams because I do think they would be creative and make room for him.
No way he gets 8 DPOY awards. 2, 3, or 4 at best.
And I think the HOF could be within his reach if he stays healthy and can lead Portland to a couple championships.
rookie season 3+ ast???!!! nah... he's not a consistent scorer down the block... so im not expecting any double team for him to pass out to shooters... and 5+ bpg in his prime is sick... Greg Oden is sick!
I think he'll be one of the elite defensive players in the league and a big part of a contending Blazers team for years IF his injury problems are mostly behind him. I doubt he'll ever be a Shaq type scorer or even a Patrick Ewing/David Robinson type scorer, but he won't need to be.
As long as he blocks shots, , rebounds, plays defense and scores when he gets easy putbacks and open dunks then that should be enough to keep the Blazers contending. Portland has a ton of scorers already which is why Greg isn't going to focus on that.
As far as numbers, I'd expect a healthy Greg Oden in his prime to be among the leaders in blocks, rebounds and FG%. He has great defensive instincts, makes some incredible blocks, already rebounds very well and he keeps the ball in play with his blocks. There'll always be a place for a player like that.
People forget that he's one of the most athletic centers ever. Sure he's raw and injury prone, but it's ridiculous for people to label him a bust already. I've seen 3 centers as athletic or more athletic than Greg. They are Shaq, David Robinson and Dwight Howard. Hell, there aren't many players Oden's size in the leagues who don't move like complete stiffs.
As far as stats in his second year. If he gets close to 30 mpg I'd say 11-12 ppg, 10 rpg, 2 bpg and about 60% shooting. I expect a major improvement from his rookie year because year 2 after the microfracture surgery is when players are usually recovered, he now has a summer to work on skills, he's already lost the extra weight and he has a year of NBA experience under his belt.
I think he'll be one of the elite defensive players in the league and a big part of a contending Blazers team for years IF his injury problems are mostly behind him. I doubt he'll ever be a Shaq type scorer or even a Patrick Ewing/David Robinson type scorer, but he won't need to be.
As long as he blocks shots, , rebounds, plays defense and scores when he gets easy putbacks and open dunks then that should be enough to keep the Blazers contending. Portland has a ton of scorers already which is why Greg isn't going to focus on that.
As far as numbers, I'd expect a healthy Greg Oden in his prime to be among the leaders in blocks, rebounds and FG%. He has great defensive instincts, makes some incredible blocks, already rebounds very well and he keeps the ball in play with his blocks. There'll always be a place for a player like that.
People forget that he's one of the most athletic centers ever. Sure he's raw and injury prone, but it's ridiculous for people to label him a bust already. I've seen 3 centers as athletic or more athletic than Greg. They are Shaq, David Robinson and Dwight Howard. Hell, there aren't many players Oden's size in the leagues who don't move like complete stiffs.
As far as stats in his second year. If he gets close to 30 mpg I'd say 11-12 ppg, 10 rpg, 2 bpg and about 60% shooting. I expect a major improvement from his rookie year because year 2 after the microfracture surgery is when players are usually recovered, he now has a summer to work on skills, he's already lost the extra weight and he has a year of NBA experience under his belt.
predict greg odens career
