There are no signs of major slippage in support among those who voted for Trump. His approval rating among those who cast ballots for him stands at 94 percent. Among Republicans, it is 84 percent. Asked of those who voted for him whether they regret doing so, 2 percent say they do, while 96 percent say supporting Trump was the right thing to do. When asked if they would vote for him again, 96 percent say they would, which is higher than the 85 percent of Hillary Clinton voters who say they would support her again.
Among Americans who say they voted in the 2016 election, 46 percent say they voted for Hillary Clinton and 43 percent for Trump, very close to the 2-point margin in the actual popular vote results. However, while Trump would retain almost all of his support if the election were held again today (96 percent), fewer of Clinton's supporters say they'd stick with her (85 percent), producing a 40-43 percent Clinton-Trump result in this hypothetical re-do among self-reported 2016 voters.
That's not because former Clinton supporters would now back Trump; only 2 percent of them say they'd do so, similar to the 1 percent of Trump voters who say they'd switch to Clinton. Instead, they're more apt to say they'd vote for a third-party candidate or wouldn't vote.
In a cautionary note to her party, Clinton's 6-point drop in a hypothetical mulligan election relates to views of whether the Democratic Party is in touch with peoples' concerns.Although the sample sizes are small, those who say the party is out of touch are less likely to say they'd support Clinton again, compared with those who see it as in touch.
Still, there's no strong evidence that defectors primarily come from groups that favored Bernie Sanders in the primary. There are no broad differences by age, and liberals are 9 points more likely than moderates and conservatives to stick with Clinton. Similarly, nonwhites are 10 points more likely than whites to say they would not support Clinton again, with more than a third of them heading to the Libertarian candidate, Gary Johnson.
The polling is accurate, they're just not centered in the right place. They're skewed to the left by 5-8 points.
These fcking idiots that did the 2016 election polling models estimated Hillary getting a greater turnout from the left than Obama did in 2008. That's ridiculous. The massively overestimate how far to the left the political center is.
Last edited by NumberSix : 04-24-2017 at 01:21 PM.
lol @ bias. Trump is highly disliked. That is a reality. The fact that Hillary would fare no better doesn't change that fact. In fact it reiterates what we heard all 2016, that these two were the least liked candidates in a long time.
Originally Posted by UK2K
We just like reminding the masses every time they come up with another 'yeah, but...'
This isn't a sports team you idiot. Snap out of it.
Trumps following is just like Trump, they can't stand it that others aren't head over heels in love with him.
If the entire population loved Trump except for ONE person, Trump would be furious that one individual doesn't love him. He would tweet about said person and give them attention, he would try to prove that he is loved by everyone with polls and stats so that one person should love him too. "Everyone loves me!!! look!!!"