Thread: Who wins this?
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Old 02-27-2012, 11:45 PM   #3
sportin_life
Gotta love West LA
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Santa Monica, CA
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Default Re: Who wins this?

I would favor Lebron side heavily. Lebron is the best player in the trade, Aldridge ~ Wade, Granger has been shooting horribly, Batum has been a beast in the starting line-up (2nd round value while starting) and Iggy is better than Hibbert. On top of that, Wade and Granger are the most injury prone in that entire group.

Per basketball monster for avg game across all players in deal on each side:

LeBron/Aldridge/Batum/Iguodala
33.9 min, 19.0 pts, 0.9 3's, 6.8 reb, 4.0 ast, 1.4 steals, 0.8 blocks, 49.8% FG, 14.1 FGA, 75.9% FT, 5.0 FTA, 2.3 TO's

Wade/Dirk/Granger/Hibbert
32.2 min, 18.4 pts, 0.7 3's, 6.3 reb, 2.6 ast, 1.0 steals, 1.1 blk, 45.9% FG, 14.9 FGA, 81.3% FT, 5.0 FTA, 2.1 TO's

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Based on weighted values (taking into account FGA and FTA and weighted for league avg for category eg. 1 block worth more than 1 assist since there are a lot more assists):

Lebron side (weighted values):
+ 0.5 ptV
+ 1.3 3V
+ 0.7 RebV
+ 2.6 AstV
+ 3.3 StealsV
- 2.3 BlocksV
+ 3.9 FG%V
- 2.7 FT%V
- 1.0 TOV

Lebron side wins big time in 3's, assists, steals, FG%, and slightly in points, rebounds. Lebron side loses blocks, FT%, and increases turnovers.
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