We have a little to work with. Otherwise we'd have nothin.
Magic will not make it. It's easy to go on a little run when you're out of the playoffs and no one expects anything from you.
Just ask the Warriors.
They could bomb out and have a bottom 3 season just as easily as they could make the playoffs. Considering the age of their team I'd say it's more likely.
EDIT: And if they make it your team is the one out, adn the Wiz have a lot more talent and experience than the Magic. It's gonna be a couple more years for the Magic.