Now that Harris has done interviews, Trump appears to be the favorite at the moment

[TheMan]

Michigan is looking crazy. This state was an easy victory for Harris, but now it's a coin flip. It was at 68% chance of victory for Harris just 10 days ago, now it's at 52% for Harris. If Harris loses this state, it's basically over.

He's not flipping Michigan, if he flips a Blue Wall state, it's more likely gonna be Wisconsin or Pennsylvania. If he flips Michigan, that means his odds of winning all 3 BWSs are huge and that's just not happening with how close this election is, it would be the equivalent of the Democrats taking all the Sun Belt states, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina and Georgia, and that ain't happening.

Polls only tell you so much and it's a snapshot of the race at that particular moment, not what will happen on election day. The most accurate polls are the ones days ahead of the election...and as I've said many times, it's a close race and it's gonna come down to who turns out their base along with whom the independents break towards to...in short, Trump's ace is that hidden Trump vote, Harris is higher turnout means that people who don't usually vote are voting and that favors the Democrats.

[Off the Court]

One of the issues in 2016 and 2020 is that most pollsters didn't adjust for education levels. There were high numbers of college grads polled, and not many blue-collar. So that is why polls leaned heavy Clinton. Lots of mobile home types came out to vote and the pollsters didn't foresee that.

Supposedly they are now aware and have adjusted. And I think we saw that during midterms where the polls leaned too far right.

[SouBeachTalents]

I've said it before, but I feel like the polls have been very unreliable the past 10 years or so. In 2016 Hillary was the clear favorite the entire race and lost, 2020 Biden was supposed to win comfortably but ending up winning a close race, 2022 was supposed to be a red wave and the Republicans badly underperformed.

It does feel like this race is going to be a coinflip, but the polls have been off their game for quite a while.

[Off the Court]

I've said it before, but I feel like the polls have been very unreliable the past 10 years or so. In 2016 Hillary was the clear favorite the entire race and lost, 2020 Biden was supposed to win comfortably but ending up winning a close race, 2022 was supposed to be a red wave and the Republicans badly underperformed.

It does feel like this race is going to be a coinflip, but the polls have been off their game for quite a while.

538 claims that the way they have weighted everything currently would have produced a perfect outcome for 2020.

I am definitely skeptical though.

I am hoping that what happened during midterms is that they actually over-corrected.

[ILLsmak]

It’s just irrational to think they can have a rolling poll that ends up being more right closer to the election.

They seem good for measuring trends though, but that’s assuming they are trying to poll correctly which even if you think most are, you have to concede some aren’t. It’s like oh that’s a d poll or an r poll, why would that matter??

I think Trump has the majority chance to win atm but he could lose. It just takes a little shift.

-Smak

[1987_Lakers]

right it's at 50/50

Trump now up over 3 points in the link you originally posted saying Harris was still the favorite.

Ouch.

[Lakers Legend#32]

The more Trump babbles incoherently, MAGAS think this increases his poll numbers with the non-hillbilly vote.

[TheMan]

Trump now up over 3 points in the link you originally posted saying Harris was still the favorite.

Ouch.

It's baffling that you claim that the more Harris speaks, the less likely she is of winning when to anyone with a brain and a little bit of intelligence would be insulted with the amount of stupid shit Trump says and gets away with. Can you come up with anything that Harris has said that is as idiotic and untruthful as illegal immigrants are eating American's cats and dogs? And that's just his latest insane shit he's spouted, how about nuking hurricanes? I dare you to find something Harris has said that is on that level of stupidity.

I don't even like Harris and I don't like defending her but the amount of idiotic shit Trump gets away with is really pathetic and sad, we are definitely in full blown decadence mode with the amount of morons like you who give Trump a pass while taking Harris to task for the lesser dumb shit she says.

And I can mention a bunch more moronic shit that Trump has said off the top of my head, like shining a flashlight inside your body or ingesting clorox to combat covid

[ILLsmak]

Yo on 60s minutes they got her answers cut while the interviewer explains what she said haha. What a joke!

-Smak

[Jasper]

here is what happens to Tariff's and tax benefits - https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/mark...ns/ar-AA1rR2Fb

Tell me how this helps you ??

[1987_Lakers]

Yo on 60s minutes they got her answers cut while the interviewer explains what she said haha. What a joke!

-Smak

I saw this too.

[Jasper]

tell me how taking from poor to divert to money (155 million for disaster relief ) goes to immigration ??

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...988e9e1c&ei=11

How does that help disaster relief and the poor ???

[Hey Yo]

Yo on 60s minutes they got her answers cut while the interviewer explains what she said haha. What a joke!

-Smak

She was asked 3x about the amount of illegals quadrupling on her watch since getting in the White house... and we get this.

https://x.com/ClayTravis/status/1843...eYxVIiWDg&s=19

She showing the world what most already knew.... not qualified in the least bit to run this country

[Hey Yo]

When asked about all her flip-flopping

https://x.com/ClayTravis/status/1843...AAlgLoc_A&s=19

Huh???

[Lakers Legend#32]

Only in the right-wing media does Trump appear the favorite.