Now that Harris has done interviews, Trump appears to be the favorite at the moment

[RRR3]

It's most definitely opinion.

No it isn't, you're ****ing delusional. No President ever has truly given power to the working class.

[ArbitraryWater]

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx924r4d5yno

Here are her positions on all of the top issues. You should consider reading them instead of pretending they don't exist.

A BBC Article?


Didnt she at first copy Bidens policies onto her Website?


Intentional ineptitude, and you go along lol.

[1987_Lakers]

This is pretty bad, polymarket currently has it at 62/38 in favor of Trump.

Most betting sites have him at 60/40 as well.

[Bill Gates]

This is pretty bad, polymarket currently has it at 62/38 in favor of Trump.

Most betting sites have him at 60/40 as well.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qt4v...-on-polymarket

It was shifted to that by just 4 people.

If you want accurate odds look at Nate Silver

[1987_Lakers]

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qt4v...-on-polymarket

It was shifted to that by just 4 people.

If you want accurate odds look at Nate Silver

https://www.realclearpolling.com/bet...2024/president

Every betting site has it at 60/40 in favor of Trump.

New polls in Pennsylvania has Trump winning that state by +3.

But it's hilarious seeing Trump haters coping in this thread.

[Bill Gates]

https://www.realclearpolling.com/bet...2024/president

Every betting site has it at 60/40 in favor of Trump.

New polls in Pennsylvania has Trump winning that state by +3.

But it's hilarious seeing Trump haters coping in this thread.

Nate Silver has Trump in the lead too. I'm just saying that those gambling odds are 100% based on who is voting for what and that is it. Those odds aren't based on anything real. Nate Silver is a stat expert who knows which polls to take seriously and which to ignore. Creating more realistic odds.

[Bill Gates]

New polls in Pennsylvania has Trump winning that state by +3.

https://x.com/VoteHubUS/status/1847360005416071510

Here are the actual early vote numbers for Pennsylvania BTW.

[1987_Lakers]

https://x.com/VoteHubUS/status/1847360005416071510

Here are the actual early vote numbers for Pennsylvania BTW.

Democrats tend to vote earlier than Republicans, this is nothing new.

I remember a big Hillary supporter back in 2016 making threads how she is crushing Trump in early voting, how did that turn out?

And Nate Silver gave Hillary like a 70% chance of winning in 2016.

[Hey Yo]

Democrats tend to vote earlier than Republicans, this is nothing new.

I remember a big Hillary supporter back in 2016 making threads how she is crushing Trump in early voting, how did that turn out?

And Nate Silver gave Hillary like a 70% chance of winning in 2016.

Cause he's an expert who knows which polls to take seriously.

[Bill Gates]

Cause he's an expert who knows which polls to take serious

He currently has Trump leading.

But that was when he was with 538, he has since gutted a lot of the polls he used then seeing that they are flawed.

[1987_Lakers]

Cause he's an expert who knows which polls to take seriously.

[ZenMaster]

Just like the jobs numbers being revised downward, FBI revises crime numbers UPWARD (a 6.6% swing) but not a word about it - smh.

https://www.realclearinvestigations....s_1065396.html

When the FBI originally released the “final” crime data for 2022 in September 2023, it reported that the nation’s violent crime rate fell by 2.1%. This quickly became, and remains, a Democratic Party talking point to counter Donald Trump’s claims of soaring crime.

But the FBI has quietly revised those numbers, releasing new data that shows violent crime increased in 2022 by 4.5%. The new data includes thousands more murders, rapes, robberies, and aggravated assaults.

The Bureau – which has been at the center of partisan storms – made no mention of these revisions in its September 2024 press release.

This should have had it's own post. The amount of times people like OTC and bladed has pointed out that crime going up is a fake republican talking point or Russian disinformation, it's sad stuff.

[TheMan]

In the end, betting markets and polls tell you so much, the betting sites 1987_Lakers loves to quote were way off in 2016 and two years ago. Having said that, Trump is in the best position he's ever been two weeks from the election which should be very worrisome to Democrats he SHOULD be considered the favorite as I have said here many times before but Harris has a historical lead for Democrats with women, mid teens lead and there are more women than men voters...

I still say high turnout favor the Democrats...if the turnout ain't there, Trump got this.

Whomever wins doesn't matter, but suck a bag of *****.

[ZenMaster]

Okay but, my entire point was that having a 51/49 Vegas odds edge means little to nothing. I mean you clearly have your hopes up as though that 1 percentage point means Trump will win, but the reality is that the gamblers are saying this is a virtual coin flip.

If the odds were shifting 75/25 or even 60/40 then okay, that is a clear lead. But these two have been teetering over tiny amounts.

Also the major pollsters claim to have adjusted their systems to fit the mishaps of 2020 and 2016. I don't trust that is actually the case, but FWIW that is what they are claiming.

65/35 today on polymarket, 60/40 on most regular betting sites.

[1987_Lakers]

In the end, betting markets and polls tell you so much, the betting sites 1987_Lakers loves to quote were way off in 2016 and two years ago. Having said that, Trump is in the best position he's ever been two weeks from the election which should be very worrisome to Democrats he SHOULD be considered the favorite as I have said here many times before but Harris has a historical lead for Democrats with women, mid teens lead and there are more women than men voters...

I still say high turnout favor the Democrats...if the turnout ain't there, Trump got this.

Whomever wins doesn't matter, but suck a bag of *****.

Looks like you are slowly completing the 7 stages of grief.