NBA Draft Lottery
InsideHoops.com | May 17, 2011
 The 2011 NBA Draft Lottery, where ping-pong balls supplant basketballs as the tools of determining supremacy, was Tuesday, May 17, at the NBA Entertainment Studios in Secaucus, New Jersey. The 27th annual edition of the NBA Draft Lottery determined the order of selection for the first 14 picks of the 2011 NBA Draft.
2011 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY RESULTS
Following are the results from the 2011 NBA Draft Lottery, which was conducted this evening at NBA Entertainment’s studio in Secaucus, N.J. The first overall selection, which had a 2.80 percent chance of winning the NBA Draft Lottery, goes to the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2011 NBA Draft, which will be held in Newark, N.J. at Prudential Center on Thursday, June 23, 2011.
1. Cleveland (From LA Clippers)
2. Minnesota
3. Utah (From New Jersey)
4. Cleveland
5. Toronto
6. Washington
7. Sacramento
8. Detroit
9. Charlotte
10. Milwaukee
11. Golden State
12. Utah
13. Phoenix
14. Houston
2011 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY PREVIEW
Fourteen ping-pong balls numbered 1 through 14 will be placed in a drum. There are 1,001
possible combinations when four balls are drawn out of 14, without regard to their order of
selection. Prior to the Lottery, 1,000 combinations will be assigned to the 14 participating Lottery
teams by a computer.
The Minnesota Timberwolves finished the season with the NBA's worst record (17-65), so they
will be assigned 250 combinations. The Houston Rockets, the best team in the lottery at 43-39,
will have five combinations out of 1,000.
Four balls will be drawn to the top to determine a four-digit combination. The team that has been
assigned that combination will receive the number one pick. The four balls are placed back in the
drum and the process is repeated to determine the number two and three picks. (Note: If the one
unassigned combination is drawn, the balls are drawn to the top again.)
The order of selection for the teams that do not win one of the top three picks will be determined
by inverse order of their regular season record. Thus, Minnesota can pick no lower than fourth,
Cleveland (19-63) no lower than fifth and Toronto (22-60) no lower than sixth.
The actual Lottery procedure will take place in a separate room prior to the national broadcast on
ESPN with NBA officials and representatives of the participating teams and the accounting firm of
Ernst & Young in attendance.
Following the drawing, team logo cards will be inserted into envelopes marked 1 through 14 by an
Ernst & Young representative. These envelopes then will be sealed and brought on-stage, where
the announcement of the Lottery results will be made by NBA Deputy Commissioner Adam
Silver. A second representative from each participating team will be seated on-stage. Neither the
Deputy Commissioner nor the team representatives will be informed of the Lottery results prior to
the opening of the envelopes.
The team whose logo is in the last envelope opened will pick first in NBA Draft 2011, to be held
on Thursday, June 23, at The Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey.
Following are the chances out of 1,000 for teams in 2011 NBA Draft Lottery:
2011 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY CHANCES (Out of 1,000)
Following are the 14 teams in 2011 NBA Draft Lottery who did not qualify for the 2011 NBA
Playoffs. Each team will be assigned a certain number of combinations out of 1,000. The third
column below lists the number of combinations each team will have in the NBA Draft Lottery.
The three columns on the right list the percent chances that teams have at getting one of the top
three picks.
2011 NBA Draft Lottery Probabilities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Minnesota 17-65 250 25.00% 21.50% 17.76%
Cleveland 19-63 199 19.90% 18.80% 17.11%
Toronto 22-60 156 15.60% 15.73% 15.57%
Washington 23-59 119 11.90% 12.59% 13.29%
Sacramento 24-58 76 7.60% 8.44% 9.49%
Utah (from NJ) 24-58 75 7.50% 8.34% 9.39%
Detroit 30-52 43 4.30% 4.94% 5.78%
Clev (from LAC) 32-50 28 2.80% 3.26% 3.88%
Charlotte 34-48 17 1.70% 2.00% 2.41%
Milwaukee 35-47 11 1.10% 1.30% 1.58%
Golden State 36-46 8 0.80% 0.95% 1.15%
Utah 39-43 7 0.70% 0.83% 1.01%
Phoenix 40-42 6 0.60% 0.71% 0.87%
Houston 43-39 5 0.50% 0.59% 0.72%
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History of NBA Draft Lottery's Development
The NBA Board of Governors, meeting in Salt Lake City in June of 1984, voted to adopt a lottery system among the non playoff teams to determine their order of selection in the first round of the NBA Draft beginning in 1985.
From 1966 through 1984, the teams that finished with the worst records in each conference participated in a coin flip to determine which team would draft first. The remaining teams picked in inverse order of their won lost records. Under the system adopted prior to the 1985 NBA Draft, the NBA Lottery determines the order of selection for the non playoff teams (or the teams holding their picks through trades) for the first round only. Teams pick in inverse order of their records in the second round (or, prior to the draft being reduced to two rounds in 1989, in all succeeding rounds).
Under a procedural change adopted by the Board of Governors in April of 1986, the Lottery determines the order of selection for the first three teams only. The remaining non playoff teams select in inverse order of their regular season records. Therefore, the team with the worst record in the league is assured of picking no worse than fourth, the team with the second worst record no worse than fifth and so on.
In a further refinement in October of 1989, the Board of Governors adopted a weighted system beginning with the 1990 NBA Draft Lottery, which included 11 teams due to expansion. The team with the worst record during the regular season received 11 chances at the top pick (out of a total of 66), the second worst team got 10 chances and the team with the best record among the non playoff clubs got one chance.
The Board of Governors approved a modification of the Lottery system in November of 1993 that, effective with the 1994 NBA Draft Lottery, increased the chances of the teams with the worst records in the league winning one of the top three picks in the draft while decreasing the lottery chances of the teams with the best records. The new system increased the chances of the team with the worst record drawing the first pick in the draft from 16.7 percent to 25 percent, while decreasing the chances of the team with the best record among lottery teams from 1.5 percent to 0.5 percent.
Under the system, 14 ping pong balls numbered 1 through 14 are placed in a drum. There are 1,001 possible combinations when four balls are drawn out of 14, without regard to their order of selection. Prior to the Lottery, 1,000 combinations are assigned to the Lottery teams based on their order of finish during the regular season. Four balls are drawn to the top to determine a four-digit combination. The team that has been assigned that combination will receive the number one pick. The four balls are placed back in the drum and the process is repeated to determine the number two and three picks. (Note: If the one unassigned combination is drawn, the balls are drawn to the top again.)
In October of 1995, the Board of Governors increased the number of teams participating in the Lottery from 11 to 13 to account for the addition of expansion teams Toronto and Vancouver. Starting in 1996, the team with the worst record in the Lottery continued to have a 25% chance of winning the first pick, teams two through six have slightly fewer chances, team seven has the same number of chances and teams eight through 12 have slightly more chances. The number of chances for team 13 did not change.
The 2004 NBA Draft Lottery increased to 14 teams with the addition of the Charlotte Bobcats. The Bobcats, as part of their expansion agreement were locked into the fourth position in the 2004 Draft and therefore did not have a chance to receive other picks in the Lottery.
The 2010 NBA Draft Lottery decides picks one through 14 and the chances are below for each teams odds to receive the number one selection in the 2010 NBA Draft.
Chances
Team 1: 250
Team 2: 178
Team 3: 177
Team 4: 119
Team 5: 76
Team 6: 75
Team 7: 43
Team 8: 28
Team 9: 17
Team 10: 10
Team 11: 9
Team 12: 7
Team 13: 6
Team 14: 5
Note: Tied teams split the number of chances and a blind draw determines which team receives an extra chance if the combined number of chances can not be split evenly.
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2010 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY RESULTS
1) Washington Wizards
2) Philadelphia 76ers
3) New Jersey Nets
4) Minnesota Timberwolves
5) Sacramento Kings
6) Golden State Warriors
7) Detroit Pistons
8) Los Angeles Clippers
9) Utah Jazz
10) Indiana Pacers
11) New Orleans Hornets
12) Memphis Grizzlies
13) Toronto Raptors
14) Houston Rockets
2010 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY ODDS
Team Record Chances 1st 2nd 3rd
New Jersey 12-70 250 25.00% 21.49% 17.73%
Minnesota 15-67 199 19.90% 18.79% 17.08%
Sacramento 25-57 156 15.60% 15.72% 15.55%
Golden State 26-56 104 10.40% 11.20% 12.08%
Washington 26-56 103 10.30% 11.10% 12.00%
Philadelphia 27-55 53 5.30% 6.03% 6.97%
Detroit 27-55 53 5.30% 6.03% 6.97%
L.A. Clippers 29-53 23 2.30% 2.69% 3.22%
Utah (from NY) 29-53 22 2.20% 2.57% 3.08%
Indiana 32-50 11 1.10% 1.30% 1.57%
New Orleans 37-45 8 0.80% 0.95% 1.15%
Memphis 40-42 7 0.70% 0.83% 1.01%
Toronto 40-42 6 0.60% 0.71% 0.87%
Houston 42-40 5 0.50% 0.59% 0.72%
ALL-TIME TEAM APPEARANCES IN NBA DRAFT LOTTERY
May 18, 2010
ATLANTA HAWKS (12): 1985; 1990; 1992; 1999 (from Golden State); 2000; 2001; 2002; 2004; 2005; 2006; 2007; 2007 (from Indiana)
BOSTON CELTICS (10): 1986 (from Seattle); 1994; 1996 (from Dallas); 1997; 1997 (from Dallas); 1998; 2000; 2001; 2006; 2007
CHARLOTTE BOBCATS (6): 2004; 2005; 2006; 2007; 2008; 2009
CHICAGO BULLS (11): 1989 (from New Jersey); 1999; 2000; 2000 (from Washington); 2001; 2002; 2003; 2004; 2006; 2007 (from New York); 2008
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (12): 1987; 1991; 1996 (from Washington); 1997; 1999 (from Boston); 1999; 2000; 2001; 2002; 2003; 2004; 2005 (to Charlotte via Phoenix)
DALLAS MAVERICKS (11): 1986 (from Cleveland); 1989; 1990 (from Washington); 1991; 1992; 1993; 1994; 1995; 1996 (from Boston); 1998; 2000
DENVER NUGGETS (8): 1991; 1992; 1993; 1997; 1998; 2001; 2002; 2003
DETROIT PISTONS (7): 1993; 1993 (from Miami); 1994; 1998; 2001; 2003 (from Memphis); 2010
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (18): 1985; 1986; 1988; 1990; 1993; 1995; 1996; 1997; 1998; 2001; 2002; 2003; 2004; 2005; 2006; 2008; 2009; 2010
HOUSTON ROCKETS (6): 1992; 2000; 2001; 2002; 2006; 2010
INDIANA PACERS (9): 1985; 1986; 1988; 1989; 1996 (from Denver); 1997; 2008; 2009; 2010
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (22): 1985; 1987; 1988; 1988 (from Sacramento); 1989; 1990; 1991; 1994; 1995; 1996; 1998; 1999; 2000; 2001; 2002; 2003; 2004; 2005; 2007; 2008; 2009; 2010
LOS ANGELES LAKERS (2): 1994; 2005
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (13): 1995*; 1996*; 1997*; 1998*; 1999*; 2000*; 2001*; 2002; 2003 (from Houston); 2007; 2008; 2009; 2010
*Vancouver Grizzlies
MIAMI HEAT (7): 1989; 1990; 1991; 1995; 2002; 2003; 2008
MILWAUKEE BUCKS (13): 1992; 1993; 1994; 1995; 1996; 1997; 1998; 2002; 2003 (from Atlanta); 2005; 2007; 2008; 2009
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES (15): 1990; 1991; 1992; 1993; 1994; 1995; 1996; 1999 (from New Jersey); 2005; 2006; 2007; 2008; 2009 (from Washington); 2009; 2010
NEW JERSEY NETS (12): 1987; 1988; 1990; 1991; 1995; 1996; 1997; 2000; 2001; 2008; 2009; 2010
NEW ORLEANS HORNETS (10): 1989*; 1990*; 1991*; 1992*; 1996*; 1999*; 2005; 2006**; 2007**; 2010
*Charlotte Hornets; **New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
NEW YORK KNICKS (8): 1985; 1986; 1987; 2002; 2003; 2005; 2008; 2009
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (11): 1985*; 1990*; 1994* (from Charlotte); 1999*; 2001*; 2003*; 2004*; 2006*; 2007*; 2008*; 2009
*Seattle SuperSonics
ORLANDO MAGIC (12) : 1990; 1991; 1992; 1993; 1998; 1998 (from Washington); 2000 (from Golden State); 2000 (from Denver); 2000; 2004; 2005; 2006
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (13): 1986 (from L.A. Clippers); 1988; 1992; 1993; 1994; 1995; 1996; 1997; 1998; 2004; 2006; 2007; 2010
PHOENIX SUNS (7): 1986; 1987; 1988; 1999 (from Dallas); 2002; 2004; 2009
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (6): 1995; 2004; 2005; 2006; 2007; 2008
SACRAMENTO KINGS (15): 1985*; 1987; 1989; 1990; 1991; 1992; 1993; 1994; 1995; 1997; 1998; 2007; 2008; 2009; 2010
*Kansas City Kings
SAN ANTONIO SPURS (3): 1987; 1989; 1997
TORONTO RAPTORS (12): 1995; 1996; 1997; 1998; 1999 (from Denver); 1999; 2003; 2004; 2005; 2006; 2009; 2010
UTAH JAZZ (4): 2004; 2005; 2006; 2010 (from New York)
WASHINGTON WIZARDS (12): 1989; 1991; 1992; 1993; 1994; 1995; 1999; 2001; 2002; 2003; 2004; 2010
2009 NBA Draft Lottery Results
1. LA Clippers
2. Memphis
3. Oklahoma City
4. Sacramento
5. Washington
6. Minnesota
7. Golden State
8. New York
9. Toronto
10. Milwaukee
11. New Jersey
12. Charlotte
13. Indiana
14. Phoenix
2009 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY ODDS
Following are the 14 teams in 2009 NBA Draft Lottery who did not qualify for the 2009 NBA Playoffs. Each team will be assigned a certain number of combinations out of 1,000. The third column below lists the number of combinations each team will have in the NBA Draft Lottery. The three columns on the right list the percent chances that teams have at getting one of the top three picks.
Team Record Chances 1st Pk 2nd Pk 3rd Pick
Sacramento 17-65 250 25.00% 21.46% 17.72%
Washington 19-63 178 17.80% 17.36% 16.45%
L.A. Clippers 19-63 177 17.70% 17.29% 16.41%
Oklahoma City 23-59 119 11.90% 12.57% 13.24%
Minnesota 24-58 76 7.60% 8.43% 9.46%
Memphis 24-58 75 7.50% 8.33% 9.36%
Golden State 29-53 43 4.30% 4.93% 5.76%
New York 32-50 28 2.80% 3.26% 3.87%
Toronto 33-49 17 1.70% 2.00% 2.40%
Milwaukee 34-48 10 1.00% 1.18% 1.43%
New Jersey 34-48 9 0.90% 1.06% 1.29%
Charlotte 35-47 7 0.70% 0.83% 1.01%
Indiana 36-46 6 0.60% 0.71% 0.87%
Phoenix 46-36 5 0.50% 0.59% 0.72%
2008 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY ODDS
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Miami 15-67 250 25.00% 21.47% 17.72%
Seattle 20-62 199 19.90% 18.78% 17.07%
Minnesota 22-60 138 13.80% 14.24% 14.54%
Memphis 22-60 137 13.70% 14.16% 14.48%
New York 23-59 76 7.60% 8.44% 9.47%
L.A. Clippers 23-59 75 7.50% 8.33% 9.37%
Milwaukee 26-56 43 4.30% 4.93% 5.77%
Charlotte 32-50 28 2.80% 3.26% 3.87%
Chicago 33-49 17 1.70% 2.00% 2.40%
New Jersey 34-48 11 1.10% 1.30% 1.57%
Indiana 36-46 8 0.80% 0.95% 1.15%
Sacramento 38-44 7 0.70% 0.83% 1.01%
Portland 41-41 6 0.60% 0.71% 0.87%
Golden State 48-34 5 0.50% 0.59% 0.72%
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